The 'Sliding Doors' Bet: If You Could Know the Outcome of One Historic Bet, Which Would You Choose?

[SharpEddie47]

Here's what's interesting: none of us are saying "I want to know if I should've bet MORE on a winning bet."

We all want to know about the bets we DIDN'T make or the paths we DIDN'T take.

 

[CoachTony_Bets]

That's the regret pattern Eddie. We don't regret the bets we made, we regret the bets we didn't.

 

[TaffyTipster]

Yeah I've lost plenty of bets but those don't haunt me.

The Wales Grand Slam bet I DIDN'T make haunts me.

 

[FadeThePublic]

Psychologically that makes sense. Loss from action hurts less than loss from inaction.

We regret what we didn't do more than what we did.

 

[Klaus]

Omission bias.

Humans regret inaction more than action, even when outcomes identical.

Well-documented psychological phenomenon.

 

[ParlayPrincess_88]

Is this why I keep thinking about that parlay??

Like I didn't even LOSE money, I just didn't win money!

But it bothers me more than bets I actually lost!

 

[SharpEddie47]

Exactly Princess. You didn't lose $20, you just didn't win $18,000.

But it feels worse than losing an actual bet.

 

[DublinDegen]

mine is opposite though... i regret the action not the inaction... regret continuing to bet not stopping...

 

[CoachTony_Bets]

Conor yours is different because it's about addiction not betting strategy.

You regret the action that led to destructive pattern.

 

[Klaus]

Conor's regret also about inaction technically.

Regrets not withdrawing, not stopping, not seeking help sooner.

Still omission bias, different framing.

 

[TaffyTipster]

What about you Oli?

You regret not taking the inside information bet?

Or glad you didn't cross that line?

 

[oli_sussex]

Both. Want to know outcome of both paths.

Ethical path led to steady career, moderate success.

Unethical path potentially much higher earnings but compromised integrity.

Need to know if integrity cost was worth it.

 

[SharpEddie47]

Oli that's the purest "sliding doors" answer here.

You want to see both timelines and compare them.

 

[FadeThePublic]

Real question: if you could actually SEE the outcome of your sliding doors moment, would you want to?

Or is the not knowing better?

 

[CoachTony_Bets]

I think I'd want to know about Michigan.

Either it would've been amazing and I'd have closure on missing that experience.

Or it would've been stressful and I'd have closure on making the right choice.

Either way, closure.

 

[TaffyTipster]

Same.

Wales Grand Slam with ticket in hand.

Want to know if it would've enhanced the joy or ruined it with stress.

 

[ParlayPrincess_88]

I definitely want to know if my parlay hit!

Even if it did I can't change it now so it wouldn't hurt more than it already does!

 

[Klaus]

Would want to know Leicester City outcome.

Either validates my systematic approach (longshot didn't hit) or reveals blind spot in my methodology (should assign small probability to extreme outliers).

Educational either way.

 

[oli_sussex]

Want to know inside information outcome.

Need to validate ethical decision with data.

 

[DublinDegen]

i dont think i want to know actually... if the other timeline is better it would destroy me... if its worse it doesnt help because im still here in this timeline... no win scenario...