betrader
Bankroll Crusher
- Joined
- Jul 8, 2019
- Messages
- 118
- Reaction score
- 24
- Points
- 18
Hi Everyone,
As mentioned elsewhere, I have decided to set up a betting thread and leave my other thread mainly for trading purposes but there will be some similarities in how I look to achieve better than SP value for betting as I do with my trading.
We now have the exchanges so we now get our odds moving in-play in accordance due to time lapse and scoring with the football and in-play events for points scoring with the tennis, and it is here where we can find and secure superior value potential for many of the more likely types markets.
Betting at the starting prices can offer some value from the start for some matches/events if the market is overpriced in the first place but the majority of extra value will often be available later at bigger prices in-play and this is where I am at with my betting and using the "keep" bet facility set to target those better prices.
Yesterdays two highlighted football matches for example with Italy and Spain offered a strong likelihood of at least 2-3 goals produced winning examples of Over 1.5 markets at 3.50 and 5.70 from starting odds at typical odds of around 1.25, yet touched market prices 10 - 19 times the value of their starting prices before going onto win. In terms of additional value over SP, that is massive.
Finding suitable events to bet on is a very difficult task to come out ahead over the long term and especially so when betting at the starting prices.
I am no expert bettor and that is why I trade because I can miss and still make money without actually needing to find a winning market, and this can make one a little bit sloppy when it comes to being ultra decisive in terms of finding solid bets and something I need to work on.
I am hoping that if I can achieve much better prices on my selections even where a lower strike rate may come out ahead - On that basis it will be an interesting experiment on finding in-play value rather than the usual bookmaker SP's.
If bets are not matched then they will just go down as "void" bets even if the event goes onto actually win and as an addition to this I will be looking to run some win doubles, treble accas etc using some of the more likely shorter priced selections on route.
Betfair accumulators will be set and calculated at the best pre-market price at the time of writing rather than me trawling the comparison sites.
I will run with this from tomorrow and post up by 11:00 am daily if we have any selections for the day.
Dedicated traders will be able to use the selections for the purpose of trading should you choose to do so.
I don't know of any service out there that uses regular in-play exchange keep value to make betting profits - drop in any comments if you do.
Regards
Betrader.
As mentioned elsewhere, I have decided to set up a betting thread and leave my other thread mainly for trading purposes but there will be some similarities in how I look to achieve better than SP value for betting as I do with my trading.
We now have the exchanges so we now get our odds moving in-play in accordance due to time lapse and scoring with the football and in-play events for points scoring with the tennis, and it is here where we can find and secure superior value potential for many of the more likely types markets.
Betting at the starting prices can offer some value from the start for some matches/events if the market is overpriced in the first place but the majority of extra value will often be available later at bigger prices in-play and this is where I am at with my betting and using the "keep" bet facility set to target those better prices.
Yesterdays two highlighted football matches for example with Italy and Spain offered a strong likelihood of at least 2-3 goals produced winning examples of Over 1.5 markets at 3.50 and 5.70 from starting odds at typical odds of around 1.25, yet touched market prices 10 - 19 times the value of their starting prices before going onto win. In terms of additional value over SP, that is massive.
Finding suitable events to bet on is a very difficult task to come out ahead over the long term and especially so when betting at the starting prices.
I am no expert bettor and that is why I trade because I can miss and still make money without actually needing to find a winning market, and this can make one a little bit sloppy when it comes to being ultra decisive in terms of finding solid bets and something I need to work on.
I am hoping that if I can achieve much better prices on my selections even where a lower strike rate may come out ahead - On that basis it will be an interesting experiment on finding in-play value rather than the usual bookmaker SP's.
If bets are not matched then they will just go down as "void" bets even if the event goes onto actually win and as an addition to this I will be looking to run some win doubles, treble accas etc using some of the more likely shorter priced selections on route.
Betfair accumulators will be set and calculated at the best pre-market price at the time of writing rather than me trawling the comparison sites.
I will run with this from tomorrow and post up by 11:00 am daily if we have any selections for the day.
Dedicated traders will be able to use the selections for the purpose of trading should you choose to do so.
I don't know of any service out there that uses regular in-play exchange keep value to make betting profits - drop in any comments if you do.
Regards
Betrader.
Last edited:
.
