What's the Most Money You've Spent RESEARCHING a Bet You Didn't Place?

not raised because i never research either... me and princess are the same bettor from opposite ends of the spectrum apparently...
 
Princess and Conor both not raising hands but for completely different reasons.
 
That's actually interesting.

Zero research means no sunk cost trap on the research side. You're only fighting impulse.

Six hours of research means fighting sunk cost AND impulse.

Maybe over-research creates its own version of the problem.
 
Eddie identifying important phenomenon.

Research increases win rate but also increases commitment bias toward betting.

Optimal research level: enough to identify genuine edge. No more.

Additional research beyond that point generates sunk cost pressure without proportional edge increase.
 
Nobody talks about this.

Every betting education resource says "do more research, be more analytical."

Nobody says "be careful because extensive research creates psychological pressure to bet even bad spots."
 
Because betting education content is produced by people who profit from bettors betting.

More research = more serious bettors = more volume = more revenue for books.

"Research more" is advice that serves the industry.
 
Oli that's dark but probably true.
 
Alright.

So the takeaways from this thread:

True ROI is lower than most people calculate once you factor research time and subscription costs.

Sunk cost from research creates pressure to place bad bets.

Pre-committing to minimum edge criteria before research starts is the solution.

And Princess and Conor are accidentally avoiding one specific trap by not researching at all.
 

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