Europe UEFA Champions League, Round 6

[spkutano]

 

[tommalkovic12]

For the final game, i see 2 matches that are easy to predict. Man.United - Young Boys and Bayern - Barca. Their is no doubt that both United and Bayern will take the 3 points. We know United is already in the next stage, for Young boys situation it's not clear. They may not qualify for Europe League even if they win, it's depending on the result from other games in the group. But it will be hard from, at Sunday United was a totally different team. In other hands Bayern - Barca, the situation is more simple. If Barca didn't win, they will play in Europe League, but it's Barca, they are poor this year. They lost against R.Betis after another bad performance. I will try only these 2 matches with a high stake. Combined is @2.30 odd.

 

[spkutano]

AC Milan vs Liverpool Preview:

Possible starting lineups:

AC Milan:
Maignan; Kalulu, Tomori, Romagnoli, Hernandez; Kessie, Tonali; Saelemaekers, Diaz, Leao; Ibrahimovic

Liverpool:
Alisson; Williams, Konate, Van Dijk, Tsimikas; Morton, Henderson, Oxlade-Chamberlain; Salah, Origi, Minamino

Liverpool have already secured the top of Group B and a place in the last 16, while AC Milan are involved in a three-way battle for second spot. Pioli's men must win this match and simultaneously hope that Porto do not beat Atletico Madrid. So, a victory here and a draw at the Dragao would see Milan go through to the Round of 16. If the Spaniards also win in their last match, then both Milan and Atletico would have an equal number of points. According to the rules, the first criteria is the head to head record. In this case, the two sides are on a level playing field. Both teams have one win each as well as the same goal difference in the head to head matches (2:2). As You probably know, the away goal rule is no longer valid in UEFA competitions. That means the overall goal difference will decide, which currently favors the Italians, but just for one goal. If the goal difference of both teams were to be the same by the end of the last round, then it would be decided by the overall goals scored in the group stages, with AC Milan currently on 5 and Atletico on 4. But if this figure were to also be level by the end, then the new deciding factor would be the number of away goals scored in the group stages: a tally which Milan currently leads 3:2, but Atletico will have their trip to Porto to turn this around.

AC Milan are in good form in the last period. The Rossoneri won the last two matches in Serie A. First they beat Genoa 3:0 and then Salernitana 2:0. Junior Messias, the former delivery boy, scored two goals against Genoa, but also netted his first Champions League goal in a 1:0 win against Atletico Madrid at Wanda. Milan will have a difficult job against strong Liverpool side, but the fact is no visiting team were able to keep a clean sheet on the San Siro turf this season. The motivation is completely on home side, especially because Liverpool play only for pride. But Pioli has some injury issues as Olivier Giroud, Samu Castillejo and Ante Rebic are all sidelined. Pietro Pellegri, who came off after 15 minutes against Salernitana on Saturday with a groin issue, is also unavailable. Davide Calabria remains out and Simon Kjaer is a long-term victim with a knee injury. Messias will probably start from the bench. Just to mention, Milan are looking for their first Champions League home win since September 2013.

Only two more teams have a perfect record of five wins from five in the competition ahead of the final matchday - Bayern Munich and Ajax. Liverpool will try to finish the group stage with a perfect record. The overall form is solid, the Reds are in series of five victories across all competitions. They beat Porto in Champions League, as well as Arsenal, Southampton, Everton and Wolverhampton in the Premier League. Liverpool have scored 15 goals on the mentioned five fixtures, while conceded just one. The atmosphere in the squad is even better after the dramatic victory at Wolverhampton during the weekend. It was Divock Origi who scored the winning goal deep into the referee time to secure a narrow 1:0 win. That result marked the end of the Reds' astonishing two-goals-per-game streak (18 matches), but nobody complains, including Jurgen Klopp. The German coach will now surely rest some of his key players like Trent, Matip, Robertson, Thiago, Fabinho, Mane and Jota. Five other are sidelined through injury - Joe Gomez, Naby Keita, Roberto Firmino, Curtis Jones and Harvey Elliott. Finally, veteran James Milner is suspended due to accumulated yellow cards.

AC Milan vs Liverpool Prediction:

Knowing that nobody have been able to keep a clean sheet at San Siro this season, I believe Milan will score. As I wrote above, the motivation is completely on their side. Liverpool play only for pride and Klopp will heavily rotate the players. Of course, that doesn't mean the Reds will give up easily. Most probably Salah wil start, but Origi and Minamino are also able to find the back of the net. I expect an open match with goals on both sides.

AC Milan vs Liverpool Pick: Both teams to score - Yes @ 1.61 with Bet365

 

[qpLucas]

Man Utd AH-1,5 @ 2,13 should be considered, YB Bern are awful away from home and their main power in Europe is thanks to home ground. United with Ronaldo will love to finish the group with a dominant win and of course Ronaldo will again try to improve his records.

This team will get different in a while, I believe.

 

[ALEXXXXXXX]

Real Madrid

They are on a run now, getting 10W-1D in recent games. Now they rank in the top of Spanish La Liga with 8 points lead. So they can devote themselves into Champions League. They are the first in Group D.


Inter Milan

They get a 0-3 clean sheet from AS Roma in last game. They are also in good condition, getting 8W-2D recently. They rank the second in Group D. As they have already qualified for next stage, it is a mere formality for them.


Verdict:

Both of them are in form. Real Madrid have psychological advantage as they have never been defeated by Inter Milan in the past. But their key player, Karim Benzema is suspend due to injury, which weakens their playing. So Inter Milan have the tendency to win in upcoming game.


1X2 Pick: 2X

 

[mayertom]

Porto - Atletico Madrid - Personally i don't know what is happening with Atletico this year. Last in the group, out of title race in La liga. Poor performance in almost every match. While Porto are way better. That's why i expecting Porto to be more active on the pitch. with better chances. I think over 1.5 goals for Porto is good bet. Unlucky for both team to be in this group. One between them and Milan will be out of the Europe tournaments.

 

[spkutano]

Atalanta vs Villarreal Preview:

Possible starting lineups:

Atalanta:
Musso; Toloi, Demiral, Palomino; Zappacosta, De Roon, Freuler, Maehle; Pasalic, Zapata, Malinovskyi

Villarreal:
Rulli; Foyth, Albiol, Torres, Estupinan; Parejo, Capoue, Coquelin; Trigueros, Gerard Moreno, Danjuma

Atalanta host Villarreal on the final matchday of the Champions League Group F at the Gewiss Stadium in Bergamo. This clash will decide who qualifies for the knock-out phase, while the third-placed side will participate in the UEFA Europa League. Villarreal are on seven points, Atalanta on six and Young Boys on four. Manchester United have already qualified as they have collect 10 points. Villarreal will come to Bergamo knowing a draw is good enough for them. The first match that took place at the Estadio de la Ceramica ended with a 2:2 draw. Freuler scored the opener for the Italians after six minutes, however, the Spanish side managed to turn out the result after Manu Trigueros and Danjuma scored. Nevertheless, the Nerazzurri didn't give up and Gosens steered in a late leveler for Atalanta in the 83rd minute. The dying minutes brought more excitement as Musso stopped Villarreal from snatching a late win with a vital save in the stoppage time.

Atalanta dropped two points against Young Boys in the previous round and now need a victory here. However, they are in excellent form and the players confidence is very high. Gian Piero Gasperini's men have won the last three matches in Serie A. The home victory against Venezia was somehow expected, but the other two came against Scudetto pretenders Juventus and Napoli. Even more, the mentioned victories were obtained away from home. Ruslan Malinovskyi was impressive against Napoli on Saturday, and the 28-year-old deserved a starting role in attack alongside Duvan Zapata and Mario Pasalic. Most probably the likes of Muriel, Josip Ilicic and Matteo Pessina will wait for their chance at the bench. Mr Gasperini has most of the players available, but Robin Gosens and Matteo Lovato remain sidelined through injuries, while Hans Hateboer is rated as doubtful due to a foot injury.

Villarreal will try to remain unbeaten in Bergamo, however, the current form isn't at desired level. The Yellow Submarine have three defeats on the last four matches across all competitions, winning only against lower-division and semi-professional side Victoria in Copa del Rey. In the remaining three games Villarreal lost 2:0 to Manchester United in the Champions League, lost 3:1 to Barcelona and 1:0 to Sevilla in domestic Primera Division. They have 16 points after 15 games and sit on the 13th place on the table. I believe the fans are disappointed and coach Unai Emery is feeling some pressure. To be worse, the away form is poor. Villarreal have a total of one win on the road since October, the already mentioned victory in the cup. Emery will miss Yeremi Pino through suspension, while Serge Aurier is ineligible to play. On the positive note, Arnaut Danjuma and Francis Coquelin are expected to overcome knocks to start. Gerard Moreno and Manu Trigueros should be joined by Danjuma in attack.

Atalanta vs Villarreal Prediction:

Atalanta have reached the quarter-finals and Round of 16 in the last two seasons of the Champions League. Villarreal, meanwhile, have won the UEFA Europe League last season, after defeating Manchester United in the final on penalties. It is clear this will be a very interesting match. It is hard to predict tee final outcome, though I will give some advantage to Atalanta. The key reasons for my pick are the current form and the home advantage.

Atalanta vs Villarreal Pick: Home win @ 1.78 with Betway

 

[BillyDuke89]

AC Milan vs. Liverpool

It makes no sense for Jurgen Klopp to risk the health of his team leaders. It is much more logical to save their strengths for the upcoming tests in the English Championship, and in Milan to provide playing practice for those guys who play a little on the domestic arena. For example, the author of the winning goal against Wolverhampton Divoku Origi. In general, in Foggy Albion, Klopp is expected to almost completely redraw the starting lineup and give the club's pupils a chance. Milan have suffered two serious losses in the last week. In the match against Genoa, Simon Kier was seriously injured, and in the fight with Salernitana, Rafael Leau was injured. Both players will miss the meeting with Liverpool.

In the Champions League, AC Milan have not won at home since September 2013. It looks like the Rossoneri have the best opportunity to end the streak right now. But I think even Liverpool's semi-reserve squad is capable of causing trouble for the Milanese.

My prediction - Both teams to score

 

[BillyDuke89]

Borussia vs. Besiktas

The hosts traditionally suffer from injuries. Yussuf Mukoko, Julian Brandt, Marcel Schmelzer, Mateu Morey, Roman Bürki, as well as the disqualified Emre Can, who grabbed a red card in the match against Sporting, will not play in the Champions League round six (two matches of the Champions League in a row, Borussia's players shoot straight penalties - Mats Hummels left the field ahead of schedule with Ajax). It is fortunate that Giovanni Reina, who has not played since August, and Torgan Hazard, who was in quarantine due to covid, are about to return. Only Alex Teixeira and Gokhan Tore are on the sidelines.
There is no doubt that the hosts will win in an unnecessary match, and the victory is quite large. With all the abundance of injuries, Borussia is simply stronger than the hopeless outsider of the group, who has no reason to give all the best in a passing match - it is better to save strength for the championship matches. Afflicted by the failure of the principled duel with Bayern Munich, Dortmund will surely fight back at the Turkish club. At the same time, even the probable absence of Erling Holland, who can be given rest, will not affect the final result.

My prediction - Borussia with handicap(-1.5)

 

[spkutano]

AC Milan vs. Liverpool

My prediction - Both teams to score

1-2

 

[spkutano]

Borussia vs. Besiktas

My prediction - Borussia with handicap(-1.5)

5-0

 

[spkutano]

AC Milan vs Liverpool Pick: Both teams to score - Yes @ 1.61 with Bet365

1-2

 

[BillyDuke89]

Red Bull Salzburg vs. Sevilla

Salzburg is missing defender Maximilian Weber, left lateral Bernardo, young center-back Brian Oko, and experienced center-half Zlatko Yunuzovic. In addition, the participation of forward Noah Okafor in the match is in question. Sevilla has long injured lateral captain Jesús Navas and center-forward Youssef En-Nesiri, to whom wingers Suso and Erik Lamela were added during the season (the Argentine was operated on and will only return to service in a few months). In the match against Villarreal, the Nervionense players also lost the main left lateral, Marcos Acuña.

Red Bull have won both previous home matches in the group and are definitely aiming to extend this pleasant streak for themselves. In addition, Matthias Jaissle's team drove Sevilla to Ramon Sánchez Pizjuan in September. The Nervionense arrived in Austria without several of the most important players in the base, which slightly reduces their chances of success. Nevertheless, I would venture to put on a class against the talent and enthusiasm that Salzburg does not occupy. I think the game will turn out to be quite bright and effective, but the favorite will eventually achieve what he wants. Let me remind you that only victory will suit Sevilla.

My prediction - X2 and total over 2.5

 

[BillyDuke89]

Bayern Munich vs. Barcelona

Due to injuries and other circumstances, both opponents have lost several players of the first team. Among the hosts, this is, first of all, Yosua Kimmich, who went to quarantine with Cuisans because of covid, as well as Marcel Zabitzer, who has a calf muscle injury. Also, Buna Sarr and Josip Stanisic will not play, and Lucas Hernandez is questionable. Barca will miss Sergio Aguero, who, due to heart disease, did not seem to end his career at all, emaciated and exhausted Pedri, whose young body still could not stand many matches of the calendar year, Sergi Roberto, Ansu Fati and Martin Braithwaite.

Barça only needs a victory, which means that the Catalans will have to go forward. Bavaria will definitely take advantage of this and will definitely not lose in this match. Let the fans of the blue garnet curse me, but in this fight I generally assume an unconditional - but not necessarily a major - defeat for the guests. The fight will be rich in goals, the lion's share of which will be scored by the hosts.

My prediction - Bayern win + total over 2.5

 

[BillyDuke89]

Juventus vs Malmo

A match that means little to the distribution of seats in this group - Juventus and Chelsea are already in the eighth, with Malmö in last place. The match in Turin will take place in the rhythm of watching the nearest Juventus reserve. Allegri will bet on reservists like Perin and Arthur ...
Malmö will come to play in a relaxed manner after celebrating the victory in the Swedish league. I expect that this game will bring a lot of goals, and both teams will score.

My prediction - Both teams to score

 

[BillyDuke89]

Wolfsburg vs. Lille

The hosts suffered a significant loss. Wolfsburg main striker Lucas Nmecha will be out on Wednesday with over-yellow cards and Maximilian Philippe is likely to take his place at the start. There is also Renato Steffen, but replacing one of the leaders of the attack without losing an exchange will be problematic for the coach in any case. Wolves main goalkeeper Cohen Castells returned to team training on Tuesday after contracting COVID-19. Cohen played for the last time on November 20, but he assures that he is ready to take responsibility on the last frontier during this "final". Admir Mehmedi, William, Xavier Schlager and Bartosz Bialek are still missing.

As for Lille, winger Jonathan Bamba and defensive midfielder Sheka have been disqualified, and the latter was also injured in the match against Troyes. In addition, Gurvennek lost due to injuries to Timothy Weah and both reserve goalkeepers, Jardim and Karnezis. In the center of the field Andre should be accompanied by Renata Sanchez, on the left in the attack due to the absence of both Bamba and Wea, obviously Yusuf Yaziji will come out. Recently, the Turks rarely appear in the starting lineup, but now the coach has a desperate situation.

Lille will be satisfied with a draw, and last year's Lille under the direction of Christophe Galtier was a priori quite capable of coming to Germany with an eye on 0-0, and winning 1-0 at least. The current Dogs do not possess such qualities, regularly missing unnecessary goals in Ligue 1. The French fans cannot but worry about the fact that before the victory in Seville, their team lost four UCL away matches in a row. On the other hand, Wolfsburg, pinned to the wall, sooner or later will have to open the game, and in this regard, it is most reasonable to bet on the exchange of goals.

My prediction - Both teams to score