Mar 5 2006, 03:22 PM
Just going to keep all my shite in one place. Keep in mind, I have posted my archive here so it will be in first post. All of my bets.
Just occasional bets.
Today main bet backing Spurs at around evens.
Small bet on Mido to score first at around 6/1
Mar 5 2006, 08:53 PM
Got there in the end MITK 3-2- thought it was going to be quite comfortable when Spurs went two up but full marks to Blackburn for coming back to 2-2.
Was going to lay back at 1.1 when Spurs went 2-0 up but Blackburn scored before the market had restarted. Got worried when it went to 2-2.
Mido scored but not first. He was involved in the build up to both Keane's goals.
Greed got the better of me & around 6/4 for anytime scorer wouldn't have been too bad.
Also felt it would be an over 2.5 goals game.
Good to start with a winner.
Mar 5 2006, 09:11 PM
Had a bit of a break & am in form -yesterday shortlisted Boro Newcastle Leeds Reading Chelsea Arsenal & they all won but went for the unders bet in the Liverpool game as the bet. Also went for the Liverpool 1-0 score & it would have been 1-0 if Fowler's goal had stood. Should have been about 6-0 actually.
This is just carrying on from the 3 teams 3 doubles thread which I was doing but was going to change the name of anyway -because I wasn't only doing that bet on there.
Will post a shortlist & try to pick out the best one & just a few single bets a week.
Bigger bets but also a stab at unders/overs, scorers, correct score,back to lay back in play bets etc.
Mar 6 2006, 01:07 AM
Next bet is Wednesday night.
Liverpool 1-0 down from first leg- take on Benfica at Anfield.
Liverpool are really struggling to score goals just now & judging by the way they couldn't score against Charlton it is difficult to see them getting two in normal time.
Think that when it does click they will give some team a doing but can't see it being Wednesday night.
Only one of Liverpool's last 12 games has been an over 2.5 goals game & they are pretty tight & well organised at the back.
Would think Liverpool would get at least a draw.
Laying Benfica & under 2.5 goals look likely but giving a low pay out.
With this in mind am staking one unit's worth of bets I would normally put on a single on a series of small bets
Draw HT Liverpool FT
Draw HT Draw FT (if this happened Liverpool would be out -hope it doesn't happen -but if they can't put the ball in the back of the net....)
0-0 back to lay back
1-0 Liverpool (this is the most likely result on current form imo & think it might be a case of Liverpool grinding out a result after normal time)
1-1
2-0 Liverpool (can't see how they will get the goals but that covers every score laying Benfica & under 2.5 goals)
Gerrard to score first & anytime scorer.
Mar 7 2006, 10:48 AM
Introducing a 10 point staking plan (ie 10 points is 1 unit of my normal stake bet) to keep score on this- will mainly be using decimal odds occasionally fractions. Just got to divide by 10 to get real points profit (or loss).
Not doing it as % of a bank.
Would think smallest bet would be 1 point biggest single bet 20 or 30 points.
Gets slightly messy when backing & laying back & will not count betting exchange % but will deduct 5% from profit when tallying up (will only be a factor if in profit).
Not going to waste too much time on it but it will be a good representation.
Leeds bet was 11 points profit on win bet & 1 point loss on Mido first goalscorer so thats balance currently + 10 points.
Will be investing 10 points on a series of small bets on Liverpool game & will post my idea of a good relative staking plan for those 10 points tomorrow.
Mar 8 2006, 12:01 AM
Liverpool to qualify 1.85 3 points
This covers extra time etc & as such is a better price than backing Liverpool at 1.5 on the normal win market?
If it did go to extra time I would favour Liverpool to slog it out.
Draw/Liverpool 4.6 1/2 point
Draw/Draw 6.6 1/2 point
Liverpool HT 2.14 1/2 point
0-0 Back to lay back in play 10 1 point
1-0 6.2 2 points
1-1 9 1 point
2-0 6.8 1 point
To Score Gerrard 2.7 1/2 point
First Goalscorer Gerrard 7 1/2 point
Mar 8 2006, 01:21 AM
That comes to 10 1/2 points staked- just slightly over what I would have staked on a straight win bet.
Hope I haven't peaked too soon as yesterday I told a mate Rangers score would be 1-1 & Lovencrands first & anytime goalscorer. Didn't have a bet.
Mar 8 2006, 09:44 PM
Liverpool's strikers severely lacking in confidence as expected -thought Gerrard would have to do it on his own - usually well organised defence standing watching for the Benfica goal.
Blows the shit right out of my tickets -only hope for my bets on the night Gerrard to score anytime & score to go to & stay at 1-1 which would mean Liverpool would go out - they've got a mountain to climb now as they need three. They've done it before but right now they can't get one.
Mar 9 2006, 12:58 AM
Gerrard should have scored 85 mins which would have given me hope of a 1-1 & just about breaking even with 5 mins to go but then Benfica made it 0-2.
Was +10 points lost -11 so balance is -1 point.
Next bet Roma to win away at Boro 10 points invested 2.86.
Mar 9 2006, 08:45 PM
Well I did say Liverpool were finding goals hard to come by & usually don't let many in.
The original under 2.5 goals bet would have been the bet again last night regardless of which team won lost or drew.
Short price but better than losing your money.
Let's see how Roma do tonight nearly 2/1 & might have been better laying Boro - covering the draw.
Think Roma have the quality to get an away goal & maybe get the away result.
Mar 10 2006, 10:51 AM
Roma beaten 1-0 at Boro- another unders game.
11 points down already ffs
Next Bet Porto to win away tonight 1.72 -they usually beat Setubal-just occasionally it's a draw. 10 points invested.
Mar 11 2006, 01:37 AM
Porto won that one comfortably- was going to make it a 20 points bet to get back in profit.
+7 points making balance -4 points.
Tomorrow will make take Scotland as a sporting bet to buck the trend of away teams losing in the 6 Nations for a long overdue win in Dublin.
Not confident enough to make it a 10 pointer but 5 points invested at 10/3.
Mar 11 2006, 02:14 AM
Also ran through the coupons & picked out 10 teams & 10 European teams- didn't give them much studying I have to admit- but I obviously thought they could win-see if they turnover a profit at the end of the day as a pot builder in singles or better left alone:
Better have 1/2 point acca on each just in case
1 point total staked
Everton Wigan Man C Birmingham Blackburn Sheff Utd Reading Leeds Gretna
St Mirren
Deportivo Valencia Inter Werder Bremen Bayern Munich Lyon Auxerre Nijmegen Sporting Lisbon CSKA Moscow
Mar 11 2006, 02:25 PM
First bet going the right way at least so far - Birmingham scored first.
Sheffield Utd away were the ones I thought were the most likely flies in the ointment as they are decent away but Coventry are good at home.
The Scotland bet is ambitious but tempting at the odds - hoping they can show enough promise to get the odds down in play & then lay back.
West Brom equalised -could have layed back too
CSKA Moscow 1-0 down too -missed it started 1 o'clock.
5 points on Blackburn to come good in 2nd half 2.6
1-0 Blackburn -just scored shortly after I posted hope they can keep it up - not laying back yet.
Mar 11 2006, 07:40 PM
5 points down on Scotland bet - they gave it their best shot but Ireland deserved to win . Only 9 points margin & Scotland might have been given a try by another ref but Ireland deserved to win.
Would have been ok on Scotland +10.5 points but went for the 10/3 odds & lost.
The small bets were poor today -waste of time even typing but only a few winners,
a lot of draws too.
Balance was -4 points (10 points is normal singles unit stake)-5 on Scotland -2 on small bets =-11
Hopefully 5 points on Blackburn at 2.6 can pull back 8 points
Just going to keep all my shite in one place. Keep in mind, I have posted my archive here so it will be in first post. All of my bets.
Just occasional bets.
Today main bet backing Spurs at around evens.
Small bet on Mido to score first at around 6/1
Mar 5 2006, 08:53 PM
Got there in the end MITK 3-2- thought it was going to be quite comfortable when Spurs went two up but full marks to Blackburn for coming back to 2-2.
Was going to lay back at 1.1 when Spurs went 2-0 up but Blackburn scored before the market had restarted. Got worried when it went to 2-2.
Mido scored but not first. He was involved in the build up to both Keane's goals.
Greed got the better of me & around 6/4 for anytime scorer wouldn't have been too bad.
Also felt it would be an over 2.5 goals game.
Good to start with a winner.
Mar 5 2006, 09:11 PM
Had a bit of a break & am in form -yesterday shortlisted Boro Newcastle Leeds Reading Chelsea Arsenal & they all won but went for the unders bet in the Liverpool game as the bet. Also went for the Liverpool 1-0 score & it would have been 1-0 if Fowler's goal had stood. Should have been about 6-0 actually.
This is just carrying on from the 3 teams 3 doubles thread which I was doing but was going to change the name of anyway -because I wasn't only doing that bet on there.
Will post a shortlist & try to pick out the best one & just a few single bets a week.
Bigger bets but also a stab at unders/overs, scorers, correct score,back to lay back in play bets etc.
Mar 6 2006, 01:07 AM
Next bet is Wednesday night.
Liverpool 1-0 down from first leg- take on Benfica at Anfield.
Liverpool are really struggling to score goals just now & judging by the way they couldn't score against Charlton it is difficult to see them getting two in normal time.
Think that when it does click they will give some team a doing but can't see it being Wednesday night.
Only one of Liverpool's last 12 games has been an over 2.5 goals game & they are pretty tight & well organised at the back.
Would think Liverpool would get at least a draw.
Laying Benfica & under 2.5 goals look likely but giving a low pay out.
With this in mind am staking one unit's worth of bets I would normally put on a single on a series of small bets
Draw HT Liverpool FT
Draw HT Draw FT (if this happened Liverpool would be out -hope it doesn't happen -but if they can't put the ball in the back of the net....)
0-0 back to lay back
1-0 Liverpool (this is the most likely result on current form imo & think it might be a case of Liverpool grinding out a result after normal time)
1-1
2-0 Liverpool (can't see how they will get the goals but that covers every score laying Benfica & under 2.5 goals)
Gerrard to score first & anytime scorer.
Mar 7 2006, 10:48 AM
Introducing a 10 point staking plan (ie 10 points is 1 unit of my normal stake bet) to keep score on this- will mainly be using decimal odds occasionally fractions. Just got to divide by 10 to get real points profit (or loss).
Not doing it as % of a bank.
Would think smallest bet would be 1 point biggest single bet 20 or 30 points.
Gets slightly messy when backing & laying back & will not count betting exchange % but will deduct 5% from profit when tallying up (will only be a factor if in profit).
Not going to waste too much time on it but it will be a good representation.
Leeds bet was 11 points profit on win bet & 1 point loss on Mido first goalscorer so thats balance currently + 10 points.
Will be investing 10 points on a series of small bets on Liverpool game & will post my idea of a good relative staking plan for those 10 points tomorrow.
Mar 8 2006, 12:01 AM
Liverpool to qualify 1.85 3 points
This covers extra time etc & as such is a better price than backing Liverpool at 1.5 on the normal win market?
If it did go to extra time I would favour Liverpool to slog it out.
Draw/Liverpool 4.6 1/2 point
Draw/Draw 6.6 1/2 point
Liverpool HT 2.14 1/2 point
0-0 Back to lay back in play 10 1 point
1-0 6.2 2 points
1-1 9 1 point
2-0 6.8 1 point
To Score Gerrard 2.7 1/2 point
First Goalscorer Gerrard 7 1/2 point
Mar 8 2006, 01:21 AM
That comes to 10 1/2 points staked- just slightly over what I would have staked on a straight win bet.
Hope I haven't peaked too soon as yesterday I told a mate Rangers score would be 1-1 & Lovencrands first & anytime goalscorer. Didn't have a bet.
Mar 8 2006, 09:44 PM
Liverpool's strikers severely lacking in confidence as expected -thought Gerrard would have to do it on his own - usually well organised defence standing watching for the Benfica goal.
Blows the shit right out of my tickets -only hope for my bets on the night Gerrard to score anytime & score to go to & stay at 1-1 which would mean Liverpool would go out - they've got a mountain to climb now as they need three. They've done it before but right now they can't get one.
Mar 9 2006, 12:58 AM
Gerrard should have scored 85 mins which would have given me hope of a 1-1 & just about breaking even with 5 mins to go but then Benfica made it 0-2.
Was +10 points lost -11 so balance is -1 point.
Next bet Roma to win away at Boro 10 points invested 2.86.
Mar 9 2006, 08:45 PM
Well I did say Liverpool were finding goals hard to come by & usually don't let many in.
The original under 2.5 goals bet would have been the bet again last night regardless of which team won lost or drew.
Short price but better than losing your money.
Let's see how Roma do tonight nearly 2/1 & might have been better laying Boro - covering the draw.
Think Roma have the quality to get an away goal & maybe get the away result.
Mar 10 2006, 10:51 AM
Roma beaten 1-0 at Boro- another unders game.
11 points down already ffs
Next Bet Porto to win away tonight 1.72 -they usually beat Setubal-just occasionally it's a draw. 10 points invested.
Mar 11 2006, 01:37 AM
Porto won that one comfortably- was going to make it a 20 points bet to get back in profit.
+7 points making balance -4 points.
Tomorrow will make take Scotland as a sporting bet to buck the trend of away teams losing in the 6 Nations for a long overdue win in Dublin.
Not confident enough to make it a 10 pointer but 5 points invested at 10/3.
Mar 11 2006, 02:14 AM
Also ran through the coupons & picked out 10 teams & 10 European teams- didn't give them much studying I have to admit- but I obviously thought they could win-see if they turnover a profit at the end of the day as a pot builder in singles or better left alone:
Better have 1/2 point acca on each just in case
1 point total staked
Everton Wigan Man C Birmingham Blackburn Sheff Utd Reading Leeds Gretna
St Mirren
Deportivo Valencia Inter Werder Bremen Bayern Munich Lyon Auxerre Nijmegen Sporting Lisbon CSKA Moscow
Mar 11 2006, 02:25 PM
First bet going the right way at least so far - Birmingham scored first.
Sheffield Utd away were the ones I thought were the most likely flies in the ointment as they are decent away but Coventry are good at home.
The Scotland bet is ambitious but tempting at the odds - hoping they can show enough promise to get the odds down in play & then lay back.
West Brom equalised -could have layed back too
CSKA Moscow 1-0 down too -missed it started 1 o'clock.
5 points on Blackburn to come good in 2nd half 2.6
1-0 Blackburn -just scored shortly after I posted hope they can keep it up - not laying back yet.
Mar 11 2006, 07:40 PM
5 points down on Scotland bet - they gave it their best shot but Ireland deserved to win . Only 9 points margin & Scotland might have been given a try by another ref but Ireland deserved to win.
Would have been ok on Scotland +10.5 points but went for the 10/3 odds & lost.
The small bets were poor today -waste of time even typing but only a few winners,
a lot of draws too.
Balance was -4 points (10 points is normal singles unit stake)-5 on Scotland -2 on small bets =-11
Hopefully 5 points on Blackburn at 2.6 can pull back 8 points
