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joker10

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====> MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES VS MIAMI HEAT
Date: 17th December 2019 at 02:00
BET ON: Asian handicap - MIAMI HEAT -4.50
Odd: 1.89 (SBOBET)

- At this point in the season, we’re no longer surprised by what the Heat (19-7) have accomplished. The team currently boasts the second best record in the Eastern Conference, the third best record in the league and has won seven of its last nine. Miami ranks seventh in points per 100 possessions (111.1), third in effective field-goal percentage (54.9%), ninth in points allowed per 100 possessions (106.3) and 13th in opponent’s effective field-goal percentage (51.3%)
- Conversely, the Grizzlies (9-17) have struggled to find their identity. The team has lost 10 of its last 14 games and prior to Saturday, hadn’t won a home game since November 15th. Memphis ranks 24th in points per 100 possessions (106), 21st in effective field-goal percentage (52%), 21st in points allowed per 100 possessions (111.6) and 19th in opponent’s effective field-goal percentage (53.2%).
As always, let’s dig deeper.
- Since guard Ja Morant (18.7 PPG, 3.2 RPG, 6.4 APG) returned to the lineup on Monday, the Grizzlies have won three of four and looked especially impressive in Saturday’s 128-111 victory against the Washington Wizards. The team was dominant on all fronts, averaging 124 points per 100 possessions (89th percentile) with an effective field-goal percentage of 64.9% (96th percentile) while limiting the Wizards to 98 points per 100 possessions (83rd) percentile) with an effective field-goal percentage of 48.1% (75th percentile).
- Although I’ll concede the performance was impressive, it seems to be more of an anomaly rather than a sign of things to come. Prior to Saturday, Memphis hadn’t ranked in the 56th percentile or above in 14 consecutive games. It’s unlikely the team will be able to continue Saturday’s impressive offensive showing against a Heat team that has ranked in the 55th percentile or higher in points allowed per 100 possessions against all but one of their 15 contests against sub-.500 opponents.
- As far as trends go, Miami tops the league at 17-8-1 ATS and is 3-1 ATS as a road favorite. The team is also an impressive 14-1 (13-2 ATS) against sub-.500 teams and has won 13 in a row against such opponents. Conversely, Memphis ranks sixth worst at 11-15 ATS and is 5-8 as a home underdog. The team is also 1-12 (3-10 ATS) against teams above .500 and has lost eight in a row against such opponents.

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