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Marin Cilic vs Philipp Kohlschreiber betting strategy

TechnicalGambler

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Marin Cilic v Philipp Kohlschreiber

•Tournament: Open de Moselle Metz
•Round: 1/4
•Surface: I. Hard
Marin Cilic Philipp Kohlschreiber
Rank: 14 Rank: 31
2010 W-L Record:35-16 2010 W-L Record:31-19
2010 W-L Record on I.Hard: 9-1 2010 W-L Record on I.Hard: 4-10
Career W-L Record: 139-87 Career W-L Record: 179-153



•Head to Head (2-3)
Tournament Date Surface Result
Bank Austria Tennis Trophy 31/10/2009 I. Hard 6-4 7-6
Masters 1000 Madrid 13/05/2009 Clay 1-6 7-5 7-6
BMW Open - Munich 06/05/2009 Clay 6-0 6-4
Heineken Open - Auckland 09/01/2008 Hard 6-3 6-7 6-4
ATP Kremlin Cup - Moscow 10/10/2007 I. Hard 7-6 1-6 6-4



I expect this match to be a close one.

Both players had great matches during this tournament mostly because of their impressive serving stats. If they maintain those stats the match will be balanced.

Yesterday Cilic won his match agains Lacko in straigth sets and apparently is in a better shape than during the american hardcourt season. Kohlschreiber played against Thomas Fabbiano and Michael Berrer without droping a single set or a game on his serve.

Currently the odds at betfair are arround 1,7 for Cilic and 2.5 for Kohlschreiber.

Wait one or two games of serve from both players and see if they maitain the previous matches stats. If they perform well in that aspect it's a good idea to scalp Cilic on serve.*

After a break of serve we have two situations. If cilic breaks I expect his odd to be arround 1,4 and if Kohlschreiber managed to break Cilic, Kohls's odd will be arround 2 so they are great odds to apply the strategies discussed on my article about the market behavior after one break of serve.*

Trading on the second set could lead to losses bigger than normal due to the match balance expected by the market.
 
Any more of these tips for this year yet?
 
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