Daily Tennis & Football.

[betrader]

Good morning everyone,

Difficult one to gauge for Russia last night and I have updated that post with my general findings but in-play it was quite clear the stats for Russia getting a ball in the direction of the goal were far and few between but they did manage a late goal for the win.
Some more euro matches tonight and I will then be having a few days off after today and will get back for the weekend football.
Most of the early tennis matches I have been trading on a random basis when I have had the chance but next weeks looks to have a few more tournaments on a more suitable time frame where I can get some match ideas up.
One expects France to get a few goals in tonight but there is no real value in the goals markets in anticipation and the Czech Republic stand a chance in the match odds department at 2.16 against Montenegro although I am not expecting a goal festival but we could see some later options for a cheap entry on the Over 1.5 markets at better prices.

19:45 - England (1.16) vs Kosovo (27.0)
Just a pointer type of match really as they have not played each other before and we could see a potentially slower match on goals where we could see some value on markets like the Over 2.5. Kosovo have been scoring of late albeit against the same opponents as England which could tighten the match up a little and so markets like the Over 2.5 @ 1.46 are a touch higher than normal in anticipation of some resistance perhaps.
I would look to back England if you do happen to see 2.0 on their match odds at any stage and ideally I would be looking at the Over 2.5 market at odds of 2.50 at any stage during the match so a 25 minute run up to the first goal would be most welcome.
Final Score: 5 - 3. Goal Times: 1, 8, 19, 38, 44, 45+1, 49, 55 mins.
Nice slow scoring match as hoped and England were 5 - 1 up by half time after initially going a goal down and the Over 2.5 market was over in just 19 minutes. Kosovo replied with 2 further goals in the 2nd half and naturally none of those original markets were met on price as England were only 1.40 - 1.50 for the match odds after being a goal down.
Elsewhere the Czech Republic got the match odds win on the drift and a slower match with two quick goals in the 50 minute zone and a late goal to win 3 - 0 and the Over 2.5 market initially was at over 6.0 and was as high as 11.0 before the very late goal showing exceptional in-play value for those slower later scoring types of matches which included the Over 1.5 which was available at well over 2.0.
France also won 3 - 0 with a slower match from them and another late goal again for the Over 2.5 which in this case was at 3.85 and winning.

Regards
Betrader.

 

[betrader]

Today marks the anniversary of the September 11th attacks which took place in 2001 - Never Forget!

If anyone hasn't heard of Tony Rooke, he was the guy taken to court by the BBC for not paying his licence because he felt that in paying his BBC license fee he would be in breach of section 15 of the BBC Charter which covers areas including the 'funding of terrorism'.
It includes the BBC's prophetic reporting of the collapse of Building 7 which was reported as "collapsed" 20 minutes before the building actually fell, when still actually standing bolt upright behind the presenter on live television.
Just a coincidence, nothing to worry about?
He was ordered to pay court costs but was not actually found guilty and was not ordered to purchase a BBC television licence by the judge when directly asked by his defense (himself), and even the prosecution donated/contributed towards his court costs.

The BBC failed to report the Tony Rooke story on mainstream media and have yet to offer any explanation as to where the original source of their information came from or to correct misinformation, which is also a part of their unbiased charter.

No betting today but this is my personal thread so....

Here is a film by Tony Rooke in remembrance of the many 1000's of innocent people that lost their lives both then and since....

Incontrovertible

I won't be responding to any comments.
Thank you admin

Tony Rooke - The Story.

Regards
Betrader.

 

[betrader]

Good morning everyone,

I have a few more on my list that I will keep an eye on in-play but here are a couple to keep an eye on for this evening that could see a few goals.

18:30 - Galatasaray (1.38) vs Kasimpasa (9.20)
Good H2H form in general with a consistent 3 - 3 + goal pattern and the last two H2Hs have ended 4 - 1 to Galatasaray.
Recent form for both teams hasn't been that consistent but one could expect goals and the goals markets are positioned in anticipation.
Back the Over 3.5 goals market at 2.06 or best price and top that up at 4.0 at any stage during the match.
Worth backing the home team if they go a goal down or drift out to 2.0 at any stage during the match.
Later 'any goal' options are to back the Over 1.5 market at odds of 2.0 at any stage.
Final Score: 1 - 0. Goal Times: 38 mins.
Over 3.5 market at 4.30 into 2.40 low. Over 1.5 market matched and lost.

19:00 - De Graafschap (2.02) vs Jong Ajax (3.40)
Regular 3 - 5 goals on the H2H stats and both teams scoring is highly likely (1.37) so we could see some swings on the match odds markets which should present a better opportunity than the BTTS market at just +37%.
The Overs markets are expecting goals so with the Over 2.5 @ 1.30 - 1.40 at a lower price in anticipation I will start and back the Over 5.5 market at 5.20 or best price before the off as goal cover and then look to back the Over 2.5 market at 2.0 at any stage during the match so if we get a slower scorer we may see a better in-play opportunity - if we get a quicker scorer then the early O5.5 may pick up some of the business.
Final Score: 3 - 2. Goal Times: 10, 23, 48, 64, 81 mins.
Over 5.5 market low 2.0. Match odds swings: DeGraafschap @ 17.0 won - Ajax low 1.23 lost.

Regards
Betrader.

 

[betrader]

Good morning everyone,

Summary: The Over 2.5 market for Genoa touched in at a very nice 9.0 before the first goal and other options like the Over 1.5 were just under 3.0 but with 2 late goals you would have actually improved on both of those prices vastly and especially for the Over 2.5 which would have been dead in the water but going onto actually win with that late run and this type of thing happens all the time. The last 2 H2H's between those have both scored the vast majority of their goals in the second half.
Bochum similarly so with all second half goals so again you get much better odds available including Over 1.5 markets that have drifted out.
Finally if you think a match has the ability to get off to a good start you can always cover a bigger market at a better price and sometimes even get a winner which was the case with Heracles at odds of 4.90 - The dutch leagues often start scoring well before any of the lower Overs markets have gotten up to some decent prices so a bit of early cover on those types can often pay dividends.
If you keep faith in your stats and you do expect your teams to score and maintain a bit of patience, then the rewards can often be exceptional.

11:30 - Genoa vs Atalanta.
Consistent 3 goals on the H2H and consistent recent scoring form. Over 2.5 @ 1.68.
Final Score: 1 - 2. Goal Times: 64, 90+1, 90+5 mins.

12:30 - Bochum vs Dynamo Dresden.
Regular Over 2.5 on the H2H and decent recent scoring from both teams. Over 2.5 @ 1.67
Final Score: 2 - 2. Goal Times: 47, 63, 79, 85 mins.

13:30 - Heracles vs Willem II.
H2H typically well over 3 - 4 goals and both teams are scoring consistently of late. Over 2.5 @ 1.66
Over 4.5 market at 4.90 is worth a little cover from the start.
Final Score: 4 - 1. Goal Times: 17, 33, 42, 55, 63 mins.

Regards
Betrader.

 

[betrader]

Good morning everyone,

Summary: Ajax was a slow scorer in general with goals at both ends of the match and we did get some movement on the Over 5.5 market into a low of 3.10 after the early goal but nothing for the Over 2.5 at our prices which scored late. An interesting market was the Over 1.5 market touching a high of 5.40 before the late winner and that market needing just one goal was at 2.0 at 80 minutes. Also interesting to note that as the Over 2.5 market ran out of liquidity the Under 2.5 market was at 1.01 up to 1.10 at goal 2 which is the same as the Overs being at 100.0 into around 11.0.
The in-play stats were not great and the only shots on goal throughout were the two that hit the back of the net with no response from PSV.
Torino were caught out on the match odds but managed to recover their position to 1 - 1 before the third goal hit the back of the net but this is the beauty of the Overs markets, we don't really care who scores. The Over 2.5 market touched a high of 2.80 and 2.20 before we got the winning goal so nothing at our higher price but a fairly straightforward winner. Generally a slower night but often worth looking at some of those other markets like the Over 1.5's if they start to drift out that are well within the general goal prediction.

19:00 - Jong Ajax (1.44) vs Jong PSV (6.0)
Regular 3 goals on the H2H but not massive scoring so it is a little difficult to find a suitable start market for cover.
The Over 2.5 market is at around 1.30+ so anywhere at 2.0 or above for that would be a good start point to back it and look to top that up at 4.0 if we do get a slower match which has been the case with some of their H2H's.
I will back the Over 5.5 market at 5.0 from the start in case we do get a strong first half run on goals especially from Ajax.
Final Score: 2 - 0. Goal Times: 5, 90+2 mins.

19:45 - Torino (1.51) vs Lecce (8.0)
This looks like a good opportunity for Torino but their H2H matches were played pre 2012 but were consistently in the 3 - 3 + goal range.
Recent scoring form has been okay so we could see a few goals for this one.
Over 2.5 goals is at 1.89 and worth backing from the start and I will top that back bet up at 4.0 at any stage during the match.
Final Score: 1 - 2. Goal Times: 35, 58, 73 mins.

Regards
Betrader.

 

[mrpakhi24]

uuu

 

[bribery21]

I want to say I have been reading your posts in the last days. Quality ones.

 

[betrader]

I want to say I have been reading your posts in the last days. Quality ones.

Many thanks for your kind comments and good luck

 

[betrader]

uuu

???

 

[betrader]

Good morning everyone,

Summary: We got a nice later scorer from Peterborough that worked well and the Over 3.5 market was as high as 21.0 and won and the Over 1.5 market touched a high of 2.56 and won in just 2 minutes, so that is how quickly markets can develop from seemingly impossible prices. The AOAW market for Peterborough touched a high of 110.0 into a low of 6.40 but a good response from Tranmere halted it's progression but the any goals markets were all fair game. The Over 2.5 market out of interest touched a high of 6.40 and was on it's knees within 2 minutes.
Ajax was a little slower in anticipation but the timing of the goals saw the Over 2.5 market creep up to 2.0 on two occasions during the match to eventually go onto win and with hindsight the 3.50 target was a little ambitious but nice to see it win anyway. The slower scoring didn't particularly work in favour of our Over 4.5 trade but which did hit a high of 12.50 into a low of 3.0 as the third goal went in and as the other match was doing well I just let my Over 4.5 run for more goals that didn't arrive.

19:45 - Tranmere (4.10) vs Peterborough (1.98)
Good recent scoring form for the away team here and their last 5 H2H's have seen a good run of goals in Peterborough's favour typically in the 3 - 5 goal range with 4/5 being clean sheets but they have not played each other since 2017.
A later run of goals has been fairly typical and more likely on the away leg and we could see a few if Peterborough can make the breakthrough.
Market prices are okay probably in anticipation of a slower type of match but initially I will back the Over 3.5 market currently at 2.84 but that could drift out nearer the off as the early liquidity is low.
Back the Over 1.5 market at 2.0 at any stage of the match.
I will have a small token back bet on the Correct Score - Any Other Away Win market at 10.50 in case we see that one sided run of goals.
Final Score: 2 - 2. Goal Times: 54, 56, 65, 70 mins.

20:00 - Ajax (1.49) vs Lille (7.60)
No H2H's for this match which is not ideal but the scoring form of Ajax lately has been very good in league action at least and the market are not expecting a goal festival which has opened the prices up nicely and may work in our favour.
I will initially back the Over 4.5 market at 5.40 from the start as early goal cover.
Back the Over 2.5 market if you see that at 3.50 at any stage.
A later goal run may not be out of the question so I will be keeping an eye on the Flashscores in-play stats for goal shot activity.
Final Score: 3 - 0. Goal Times: 18, 50, 62 mins.

Regards
Betrader

 

[BgFutbol]

Do you have a website @betrader ?

 

[betrader]

Do you have a website @betrader ?

Thought about a free one like Wix but nothing in the pipeline.

 

[betrader]

Summary: A good performance from Hoang but it shows why you should always hedge out at lower figures to guarantee the profit rather than take the chance of the outright win and Barrere turned it around nicely and went onto snatch the match. Quite often players will struggle to get it across the line when victory is staring them in the face but either way it was a good match with opportunity.
Mannarino was out to lunch and couldn't hold onto his service if he tried but did a little push later on but that performance wasn't worth turning up for to be honest and that should have been much closer match at his normal level. On another day we will get one that works in our favour just like we do when we get retirements against and for us so there is no real point in beating yourself up over it.
A nicer later scorer for the mentioned Munich match so the prices of more likely markets working well and for example the Over 2.5 market later on touched highs of 4.70 and 4.60 before goals 2 & 3 arrived for a nice late run. City also got the three goals but had scored 2 earlier so you then struggle to get those better prices but plenty of opportunities available if you are looking at those types of market for a later run of goals.

14:30 - ATP Metz - Antoine Hoang (2.48) vs Gregoire Barrere (1.67)
Hoang has won both H2H matches yet goes off as outsider here. Barrere has been the more consistent player of late and the rankings are close at 109 vs 98. We could see a tighter match as the varying stats balance out but I think Hoang is worth a back bet from his starting price with a view to reducing or removing the risk into a free bet if his price comes in initially to 1.60.
A cheeky later lay on Barrere will be in order if he does well and drops in under 1.10.
In-Play stats for the point to points work well as a guide to see who is applying the pressure
Result: Barrere wins in 3 sets.
Hoang was a set and a break up into a low of around 1.10 - 1.12 and lost.

18:00 - ATP St.Petersburg - Egor Gerasimov (2.30) vs Adrian Mannarino (1.73)
2 out of 2 H2H match wins for Mannarino with the latest being in 2018 and he is rated 59 vs 119.
Gerasimov has been playing well of late coming through the qualifiers here and may put up some resistance.
I fancy Mannarino to win the match or at the very least do well enough to bring his price in shorter but we could see a few swings on route to finding a winner with some possible pressure from the outsider.
Back Mannarino at his starting price and top up that back bet if you see 3.50 at any stage during the match.
Result: Gerasimov wins comfortably in 2 sets.
Some later resistance (S2/G6) saw Gerasimov at 1.01 - 1.08 but generally an easy enough win.

Regards
Betrader.

 

[betrader]

Good morning everyone,

Summary: Many thank to admin for yesterdays thread email recommendation and any visitors for yesterday didn't waste their time and we found a couple of nice winners working out as expected. Aarhus worked well for the 2.5 market on a slower match and actually went onto win the match which is not a surprise as most of their H2H's have run closer with both teams scoring and actually touched a high of 7.0 in this match for the match odds but we got the three goals enough for our target market.
The goal markets drifted out nicely after the first goal to a high of 4.80 into 1.90 so if you did get on at the bigger prices you can always remove your risk and free bet the whole thing. I achieved around + 2 pts from 4.0 as the price came back into sp and just free betted the whole thing and easily doubled the take that a normal sp bettor would have achieved but removing any chance of losing on route.
DeGraafschap worked nicely and after the third goal I free betted the market from 5.90 which was my entry into 2.0 for a risk free +3.90 pts profit as the fourth goal went in for a market winner with just a 1 point sacrifice on my ultimate sp entry price.
Anyone on the shorter priced Over 2.5 touched a high of 1.80 before the first goal and won. The 3.0 price was designed as a saver in case we got a much slower scoring match on our hands but can still offer up a nice bit of pocket money at the lower prices.

18:00 - OB(Odense) 2.50 vs AGF (Aarhus) 3.10.
Consistent three goals on the H2H and good recent winning/scoring form for the away team could see a closer match until they break through.
The Over 2.5 market at 1.97 backs up the idea but looks to hold some value at the starting prices based on the general H2H but we could see some better top up prices later on if it does run slower.
Final Score: 1 - 2. Goal Times: 28, 66, 80 mins.
Over 2.5 market: 3.10 - 1.58 @ G1 - 4.80 - 1.90 @ G2 - 2.76 @ G3 and won.

19:00 - DeGraafschap (1.55) vs FC Eindhoven (6.20)
The home team have won the last 4 out of 5 H2H's with the last one on the road in 2018 with a 4 - 2 win.
Potential goals for the home team here and the stats in general show a good chance of first half goals.
The O2.5 is at what I like to call an accumulator type price at 1.50 - 1.60 with a good chance of winning but with the potential for home goals, backing the Correct Score - Any Other Home Win market at 5.60 - 6.60 looks like a reasonable price to get involved for an earlier trade.
Back the Over 2.5 market if you see 3.0 at any stage during the match.
Final Score: 4 - 0. Goal Times: 16, 30, 62, 80 mins.
C.S - Any Other Home Win @ 5.90 won.

In the meantime many thanks to anyone following my posts and I hope you can pick up some ideas on route that may offer some assistance in your own sports trading.

Regards
Betrader.

 

[betrader]

Good morning everyone,

We had a decent evenings play for yesterday and a couple of actual winning markets which is always nice to see and many thanks for any new visitors tuning in for yesterdays post and I have now put up a general summary for those.
Quite a few opportunities across today's footie coupon and here are just a couple of those ideas that could work well enough from my shortlist.
I may not be around to complete these matches but I will have various bets in the market to cover those.
A later market of interest is 20:00 Granada vs Barcelona and we could see some away goals for that leg and a potential later scoring match.

14:30 - Freiburg (1.93) vs Augsburg (4.30)
A couple of their last 5 H2H's have gone closer or lower scoring and a good chance of both teams scoring but the remaining 3 of those H2H's have shown a minimum of 5 goals per game. Freiburg stand a good chance here with decent recent scoring form and are positioned 4th vs 14 on the Bundesliga table. We have a good chance of some one sided scoring for this one so initially I will back the Correct Score - Any Other Home Win market currently available at a juicy 9.80 which has the ability to cover a significant part of the match including later goal runs can knock that price down regardless of where it may have initially drifted.
The Over 2.5 market here looks vulnerable and is currently priced at 1.68 but again similar to last nights Graafschap match I would like to see 3.0 on that market at any stage and may offer some opportunity on a slower paced match.~
Final Score: 1 - 1. Goal Times: 23, 39 mins.
Any Other Home Win - Drifted 17.0 into 6.40 low and lost. Over 2.5 matched at 3.0 but lost.

15:00 - Man City (1.13) vs Watford (29.0)
Strong chance of home goals and their last H2H match back in 2018 ended in a 6 - 0 win and typically we have seen 3 - 6 goals on the H2H in general.
Any other home win market is at 2.34 which suggests we will see one sided goals but I think the value could be in backing the Over 5.5 market currently at 4.80 or best price and I would top that back bet up marginally at 10.0 at any stage during the match.
Early 1st half as well as later 2nd half goals are likely so markets like the Over 2.5 at 1.30 are not likely to creep up too much at any time but if you do happen to see 2.0 on the Over 2.5 then that is worth backing at that price at any stage during the match.
Final Score: 8 - 0. Goal Times: 1, 7, 12, 15, 18, 49, 60, 85 mins.
Over 5.5 market at 4.80 matched and won - lower price available nearer the start.

Regards
Betrader.

 

[betrader]

Good morning everyone,

Not a bad day for yesterday with a good performance from Man City with a whopping 8 goal scoreline and that Over 5.5 market was pretty much over by half time and winning early in the second half, so 2 straight bets for me for yesterday afternoon and one 4.80 winner.
We got a the closer run match of the stats rather than the scorer for Freiburg which ended a bit of an awkward loser for the 2.5 market for that one but the any other home win market would have moved from a higher to lower price based on the first goal time but that would have been it.
I did take a look at the later Barcelona match but the stats for Barca at 70 mins were four goal attempts and not one shot on goal so it wasn't looking great for a late run and that ended 2 - 0 for the hosts.
Lots of good H2H stats today but not backed up by particularly consistent recent form and a lot of my key watch-list teams are on the road so I won't be getting too financially involved but I do have a couple of some interest to look at with a home advantage.

13:30 - Standard (1.40) vs Eupen (8.60)
Potential 3/3+ goals here on the H2H with a home team advantage and we are top and bottom of the league with this pairing.
Standard recently beat Oostende 4 - 1 on the road in league play so we could see a similar scoring pattern emerge and early goals are likely.
The Over 2.5 and 3.5 markets look vulnerable with the latter priced at 2.46 but I think the better value here based on home goal potential could be the Correct Score - Any Other Home Win market priced at 5.0 which looks to be a more logical starting point at a better price.
The Over 2.5 market at 1.58 looks like a vulnerable market so worth backing that at 2.0 at any stage if we get a slower scoring affair or a bit of time lapse before the first goal.
Final Score: 3 - 0. Goal Times: 6, 27, 61 mins.
Any Other Home Win - Drifted to 6.40 before start - Low of 1.80 @ G3.
Over 2.5 drifted to 1.73 before start to a high of 1.80 and won. 2.0 not matched.

20:30 - Porto (1.19) vs Santa Clara (22.0)
Porto are currently in fine fettle and scoring well but whether they just go for the win here is questionable with their last H2H encounted ending 1 - 0 at home back in April. General H2H's over the last 5 encounters have seen 3/3+ goals per match so we should see a few for this one and the markets are priced accordingly.
Back the Over 3.5 market at 2.32 or best price from the start and look to top up that back bet at 4.0 at any stage during the match.
Back the Over 1.5 market at 1.80 at any stage of the match - this may position us for a slower match if we see one or two later goals.
Final Score: 2 - 0. Goal Times: 15, 41 mins.
Over 3.5 market - 4.0 was matched but lost.

Regards
Betrader.

 

[betrader]

Good morning everyone,

Not a great deal for yesterdays matches and I felt from the in-play stats like Liege should have easily tumbled that market but it wasn't to be but worked well enough for traders, and like so many others for Sunday we were struggling for goal momentum which is often the case after Euro duties.
A lot of my general watchlist ended in the 2 - 3 goal area with the exception of Arsenal who did well to come back and win their match 3 - 2 with two nice later goals and Celtic managed a 3 - 1 win for their match but generally I was happy to come out with my shirt on.

Mainly early morning random match tennis trading for me this week and not a great deal I can see for today's footie coupon although it will be interesting to see how the 14:00 - Burnley vs Notts Forest U23 match gets on and we could see a few goals for that one and a good chance for the home team. The markets for those are unmanaged on Betfair and unlikely to attract much liquidity but Bet365 do have some more steady but limited markets available for those types of match - Final Score: 1 - 1. Later equalizer for Forest.
Another that is scheduled to go in play at 15:30 is the Flora vs FC Elva match which has a solid 3 goal H2H and 3 of their last 5 H2H matches have gone to 5 goals so we could see some goal action for that one but again liquidity can be an issue - Final Score: 5 - 1.

Good luck if you do any today...

Regards
Betrader.

 

[betrader]

Good morning everyone,

Summary: Anyone on the Ajax match would have gotten a 5 - 0 scoreline with the first goal arriving at 50 minutes opens up a lot of market possibilities - The Over 3.5 market for that for example started life at 1.25 and got the first goal as it touched 3.0 so that is how tight the markets were in anticipation from the start and how much business you can pick up if you are patient.
Interesting to note that all three of our matches got a late goal PSV got the Over 3.5 at some nice prices on route including the 12.50 as the winner went in. A slower match with Roma offered some good later opportunities for later markets like the Over 1.5 at odds over 5.0 on two occasions and finally another slower match with PSG which incidentally saw it's Over 1.5 actually touch a high of 15.0 and winning with that late goal buttrading wise only one of the O3.5 start markets actually worked out.

17:30 - PSV vs FC Groningen.
The H2H for these isn't that great for consistent big scoring matches but looks like a straightforward victory for the home team at the top of the league with good recent form.
Back the Over 3.5 market at 2.40 or best price.
Final Score: 3 - 1. Goal Times: 12, 38, 70, 90+4 mins. Over 3.5 Highs: 3.45, 3.0, 4.70, 12.50 - won.

18:00 - Roma vs Atalanta.
Good recent scoring form from Roma backed up by decent H2H performances and the Over 2.5 markets look vulnerable if we get a slower start.
Back the Over 3.5 market at 2.24 or best price.
Final Score: 0 - 2. Goal Times: 71, 90 mins.
Over 3.5: Lost. Over 2.5 - 24.0 - 5.80 @ G1, 60.0 - 10.0 @ G2. Over 1.5 - 5.50 - 1.80 - 5.30 won.

20:00 - Paris St-G vs Reims.
Paris sit at the top and opposite ends of the league with good H2H stats against tonights opponents and we should see a few goals.
2nd half goals are likely if we see a quieter first half - drifting O2.5 markets are of particular interest for potential later trades even if there is a goal in already we could see a late run.
Back the Over 3.5 market at 2.24 or best price.
Final Score: 0 - 2. Goal Times: 29, 90+4 mins.
Over 3.5: Lost.

Regards
Betrader.

 

[betrader]

Good morning everyone,

We are away on our family holidays from tomorrow for a couple of weeks so this will be my last post for a while and many thanks for those that have tuned in.
I have to admit that after a few weeks of being here I am a little disappointed that there are not that many, if any, ongoing threads on the forum and not a great deal of mention for trading in particular or something perhaps a little more innovative in terms of useful strategies.
I keep on seeing the usual casino and bookmaker direct/indirect promotion/affiliates etc which to me to be honest is just a big big yawn .
Yesterdays matches show how difficult it can be for the average punter to make any sort of money betting at the starting prices and this is the area where the bookmakers really are quids in but at what point did everybody start working for the bookmakers rather than trying to beat them?
Being able to bet in-play and even free bet/hedge your margins in a sport where goals can happen at any time and at any price really can offer up vastly improved opportunities across the board while targeting more likely types of market; I therefore have little interest in seeking poorer value from any of the online or highstreet bookmakers who will just shut you down anyway as soon as you start to become a regular winner.

18:00 - Eirbar vs Sevilla.
Regular 2 - 3 + goals on the H2H and with Sevilla on the road we may see a little time lapse before goals and their last away leg in 2018 ended up winning 3 - 1 with all four goals happening in the second half.
The Over 2.5 market is at 2.14 so the market/betfair is not expecting an avalanche of goals so this is where we could see some value on 1.5's and 2.5's at some point during the match if it runs slower.
Final Score: 3 - 2 Goal Times: 11, 33, 66, 77, 82 mins.

20:00 - Sporting Lisbon vs Rio Ave.
Solid 3 goals on the H2H and Sporting have won 4 out of the last 5 H2H matches. Lisbon are not in the best of form at the moment and were beaten at home in August 3 - 2 by Rio. This could run a little tighter/closer and as a result we may see some better value for more likely markets however general H2H stats do show a strong likelihood of early/first half goals and both teams scoring is not out of the question.
Very cheeky any other away win market priced at 36.0 - 55.0 for Rio Ave who are scoring well enough of late but ultimately O1.5's and O2.5's are the target based on the general goal count.
Final Score: 1 - 2. Goal Times: 32, 35, 83 mins.

Wishing you all the best of luck....

Regards
Betrader.

 

[alexbf]

Good work.