ThePuntingProf's latest activity
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TThePuntingProf replied to the thread Expected Points and Advanced NFL Metrics - Are They Already Priced In?.The distinction Princess has arrived at is the one that I think most precisely captures the current state of advanced NFL metrics in the...
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TThePuntingProf replied to the thread The Promoted and Relegated Club - Market Inefficiency at the Boundary Between Divisions?.The promoted club inefficiency is one I've tracked specifically since the late 1990s and the pattern has been consistent enough across...
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TThePuntingProf replied to the thread The First Time You Felt Like a Gambler Rather Than a Bettor - Is There Even a Difference?.The gap Conor describes between the external presentation and the internal experience is the one that I think the bettor-gambler...
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TThePuntingProf replied to the thread The Accumulator Culture - Why Do British Bettors Love the One Bet Europeans Would Never Place?.The communal experience Taffy and Princess describe is the thing that Margaret valued most about the format and the thing I most...
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TThePuntingProf replied to the thread The First Time You Felt Like a Gambler Rather Than a Bettor - Is There Even a Difference?.The distinction between bettor and gambler is one I've examined seriously because as a mathematician I'm specifically trained to be...
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TThePuntingProf replied to the thread The Accumulator Culture - Why Do British Bettors Love the One Bet Europeans Would Never Place?.I want to address the continental European comparison specifically because I think Taffy's observation that serious European bettors...
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TThePuntingProf replied to the thread Reading the Line Movement - What Does the Price Journey Tell You?.Fade's trap line observation connects to something I want to add about what I call the manufactured market, which is the operator's...
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TThePuntingProf replied to the thread Price Boosts and Enhanced Odds - Free Money or Sophisticated Behavioral Design?.The price boost as a marketing product has a specific history that I think is worth establishing before discussing its mechanism because...
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TThePuntingProf replied to the thread Reading the Line Movement - What Does the Price Journey Tell You?.The price journey across thirty years of observation has produced several specific patterns that I've come to weight significantly in my...
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TThePuntingProf replied to the thread The Accumulator Culture - Why Do British Bettors Love the One Bet Europeans Would Never Place?.The accumulator in British betting culture has a specific historical origin that I think explains the current cultural attachment more...
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TThePuntingProf replied to the thread The Bookmaker Margin - How Much Are You Actually Paying Per Bet?.The calorie count parallel Tony raises is precise and I want to extend it in one specific direction because I think it illuminates...
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TThePuntingProf replied to the thread What Would You Tell Someone Starting Out Today? The Advice Nobody Gave You.The crisis plan Tony describes is what Margaret and I called the agreement and we made them at the start of each football season rather...
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TThePuntingProf replied to the thread Asian Handicap Deep Dive - The Most Referenced and Least Understood Market in Football Betting.I want to add one specific technical point that hasn't been made and that matters practically which is about how the Asian Handicap...
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TThePuntingProf replied to the thread What the Spreadsheet Says vs What You Feel - Which Wins When They Disagree?.The tension between the quantitative model and the qualitative judgment has occupied me for thirty years and I want to be precise about...
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TThePuntingProf replied to the thread The Bookmaker Margin - How Much Are You Actually Paying Per Bet?.The mathematics of the bookmaker margin have occupied me more than almost any other aspect of betting across thirty years and I want to...