SharpEddie47's latest activity
-
SharpEddie47 replied to the thread xG and Expected Goals - Is It Already Priced Into Markets or Is There Still Edge?.Tony identifying the model staleness problem that nobody discusses. xG models are trained on historical shot data. The shot profiles... -
SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Betting Shirt Sponsorships - Should Premier League Clubs Be Allowed to Wear Gambling Logos?.The debate in the US is moving faster than anyone expected. Three years into widespread legalization: gambling ads are on every...
-
SharpEddie47 replied to the thread What's the Smallest Bet You've Ever Placed and Why?.Princess that's an honest and uncomfortable insight. The bet that makes no difference to your experience of the event. Not investment...
-
SharpEddie47 replied to the thread What Time Do You Place Your Bets - And Is That the Worst Hour for Your Decision-Making?.Conor separating the analytical quality problem from the availability-of-reasons-to-stop problem. These are genuinely different...
-
SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Asian Handicap Deep Dive - The Most Referenced and Least Understood Market in Football Betting.Princess has identified precisely the appeal. The quarter-ball handicap converts what would be a clean loss in a half-ball market into...
-
SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Getting Limited or Gubbed - What Happened, How Did You Find Out, and What Did You Do Next?.Conor the inverse of the restriction story is its own kind of information and you've stated it clearly. The industry restricts bettors...
-
SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Has Betting Ever Made You Genuinely Happy? Not Excited. Happy..Understanding something clearly and continuing anyway is the most honest description of what most of us are doing. We've been circling...
-
SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Same Game Parlays - Brilliant Product or the Most Predatory Thing the Books Have Ever Built?.Princess identifying the core difficulty with product-level harm arguments. Products don't harm uniformly. They harm at the...
-
SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Horse Racing - Are You Betting the Sport or Just Using It As an Excuse to Be in a Betting Shop?.The language of the first covering the reality of the second is the honest conclusion. Racing as sport: a specific and beautiful thing...
-
SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Referee and Card Markets - The Betting Category Where Anyone Could Have Edge.Fade completing the circle from the match fixing thread. The markets with the best edge for legitimate analysts have the worst...
-
SharpEddie47 posted the thread What the Spreadsheet Says vs What You Feel - Which Wins When They Disagree? in General Gambling Forum.I've been doing this for twenty years and tracking every bet for fifteen of them. The spreadsheet doesn't lie. My record on bets where I...
-
SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Courtsiding and Data Latency - Is Getting Information Faster Than the Market Still Possible?.The broadcast delay mechanism is worth explaining plainly for anyone who's never thought about why this gap exists at all. Live...
-
SharpEddie47 posted the thread Asian Handicap Deep Dive - The Most Referenced and Least Understood Market in Football Betting in General Gambling Forum.This market has come up in more threads than any other without ever being examined directly. Time to fix that. The Asian Handicap...
-
SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Brazil Just Opened One of the Biggest Betting Markets in the World. What Happens Next?.This thread started as a market efficiency question. It has become something more honest. The efficiency window is real but probably...
-
SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Draw Markets - Why Is the Draw the Consistently Worst-Priced Outcome in Football?.Oli's halftime xG-draw price divergence is the specific live betting edge that still exists. Two 0-0 halftimes with different xG...