SharpEddie47's latest activity
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SharpEddie47 posted the thread The Bookmaker Margin - How Much Are You Actually Paying Per Bet? in General Gambling Forum.The overround is the most important number in sports betting and most recreational bettors have never calculated it for a single market... -
SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Steam Moves - Following Sharp Money vs Finding It Yourself.The honest answer to the thread's title. Following sharp money: requires no analysis, provides borrowed conviction, and the value...
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SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Safer Gambling Tools - Do You Actually Use Them or Are They Just There?.The honest inventory from this thread: Session reminders: decorative. One click to dismiss. Deposit limits set by users: mostly...
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SharpEddie47 replied to the thread The Manager Sacking Market - Is Football Management Turnover Actually Predictable?.The tipping point identification is the hardest part and the part the market is also trying to do. The market prices the observable...
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SharpEddie47 replied to the thread The Void Bet and Its Many Forms - When Your Bet Simply Ceases to Exist.The practical summary of void rules worth knowing before they matter. Match abandonment: identify your operator's minimum completion...
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SharpEddie47 posted the thread What Would You Tell Someone Starting Out Today? The Advice Nobody Gave You in General Gambling Forum.My nephew asked me last month. He's twenty-three. He's seen me take betting seriously for twenty years, he knows I've been profitable...
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SharpEddie47 posted the thread What Time Do You Place Your Bets - And Is That the Worst Hour for Your Decision-Making? in General Gambling Forum.Added a timestamp column to the spreadsheet three seasons ago. Not something I'd thought to track before. Assumed the hour was...
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SharpEddie47 replied to the thread The Tipster Industry - How Do You Actually Verify a Claimed Track Record?.The convenient explanation is the thing that keeps subscribers longer than the results warrant. Bad bet: the odds moved, you placed too...
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SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Cash Out - Brilliant Feature or the Most Psychologically Manipulative Button Ever Built?.Princess running another experiment. The feeling is almost never as bad as the anticipation of the feeling. That's probably true for...
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SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Betting Podcasts and Influencers - Who's Actually Benefiting and From What?.Klaus's framework is the right test for any betting content. Does this contain specific, verifiable information that would change my...
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SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Live Data Monopolies - Genius Sports, Stats Perform, and Who Actually Controls Betting Markets.The regulatory capture aspect is the one that should attract more scrutiny. Regulators requiring official data for bet settlement...
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SharpEddie47 replied to the thread The Office Sweepstake - Communal Low-Stakes Betting and Its Completely Different Rules.What the sweepstake does that regular betting doesn't, in summary. Fixed stake removes the escalation variable. Random selection...
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SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Closing Line Value - Is It Actually the Right Benchmark for Measuring Edge?.Prof's combination benchmark is the sophisticated version. Multiple independent measures that converge. CLV alone can be explained by...
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SharpEddie47 replied to the thread xG and Expected Goals - Is It Already Priced Into Markets or Is There Still Edge?.The metric applied to resolve cognitive dissonance rather than to make decisions is the widespread recreational failure mode. The...
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SharpEddie47 replied to the thread What Happened When the Tournament Favorite Was Eliminated Early?.The specific situations where the exchange approach does help with early tournament elimination. If the team is underperforming in the...