SharpEddie47's latest activity
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SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Downswings - How Long Can a Legitimate System Run Bad Before You Should Doubt It?.Prof's three-case dataset is the most honest description of the problem. Two out of three were variance. Would have been fine to hold... -
SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Home Advantage - Is It Still Real or Has Modern Football Quietly Killed It?.Good thread everyone. The honest summary: home advantage is real but smaller than historical baselines. The reduction is genuine and...
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SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Odds Compilers Are Being Replaced by Algorithms - What Does That Mean for Finding Edges?.Prof naming the specific skill transfer required. From: understanding human systematic error patterns. To: understanding algorithmic...
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SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Boredom as a Betting Trigger - The Bet Placed Because There Was Nothing Else to Do.The company substitute framing is the most uncomfortable version of this. The boredom bet that I've been characterizing as a discipline...
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SharpEddie47 replied to the thread The NBA Betting Market - Load Management, Tanking, and the Sport That Invented Ways to Ruin Your Bet.Conor identifying the NBA's specific harm profile. The combination of: games every night, late night availability for European time...
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SharpEddie47 replied to the thread The Shrinkflation of Betting Edges - Is Genuine Value Disappearing From Football Markets?.Prof naming the thing I've been building toward with the data. The edge inflation question isn't just "does value still exist." It's...
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SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Match Fixing - How Real Is the Threat in the Markets You Actually Bet On?.The loss to a fixed outcome is the pure version of what Ole described. You weren't beaten by the market. You weren't beaten by...
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SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Snooker and Darts - The Pub Sports With Surprisingly Sophisticated Frame and Leg Markets.The checkout percentage data Klaus mentioned: this is the actual analytical foundation if anyone wanted to build something. A player's...
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SharpEddie47 replied to the thread The Transfer Window and What It Does to Betting Markets.The mid-season transfer window timing creates the most acute version of the outright problem. Teams in the middle of a season. The...
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SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Arbitrage Betting in 2026 - Is Pure Price Discrepancy Between Operators Still Viable?.Good thread. The answer to whether arbing is viable in 2026: technically yes in specific markets with specific operational approaches...
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SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Tennis Betting - The Most Individual Sport and the Market Nobody Has Fully Cracked.Oli's internal consistency edge is the cleanest tennis edge I've heard described. It requires no tennis knowledge. Only mathematics...
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SharpEddie47 replied to the thread The Best Bet You Never Placed.The survivorship bias concern I raised at the start. Eddie's thread acknowledged it. Let me take it seriously. Every person in this...
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SharpEddie47 replied to the thread The Free Bet - Does Operator Generosity Change How You Bet?.Prof's Margaret framing is the cleanest version of what this thread is actually about. The reactivation offer is the second-order...
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SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Micro-Betting Explosion - Edge or Trap?.Klaus's velocity framework is the most useful analytical lens on this product. The feedback loop is the mechanism by which bettors...
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SharpEddie47 replied to the thread The Derby Match - Does It Bet Completely Differently From a Regular Fixture?.The card market in derbies is worth specific attention given the referee and card markets thread. Derby card rates are significantly...