What If Bookmakers Had To Publish Their Win Rate Against Individual Customers?

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oli_sussex

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Hypothetical regulation: Sportsbooks must display prominent win/loss record against each individual customer.

Login screen shows: "DraftKings has won 68.3% of your bets over 3 years. You have lost $4,247 lifetime."

Transparency forced. No hiding from reality.

Would this change betting behavior? Would people quit? Switch books? Ignore it?

Thoughts?
 
I'd love this regulation.

I already track everything so it wouldn't tell me anything new.

But forcing casual bettors to confront their actual results would be massive behavioral intervention.

Most people have no idea how much they've lost lifetime.
 
Wait I don't want to know that!!

Like I know I'm probably down overall but seeing the exact number would be so depressing!

I'd probably cry lol
 
Princess's reaction is exactly WHY books will never voluntarily do this.

Ignorance keeps people betting. Knowledge would drive them away.
 
This would be huge for problem gamblers.

Hard to deny you have a problem when the login screen says "You've lost $23,000 over 2 years."

Forces confrontation with reality.
 
Already maintain this data personally.

Current lifetime: +€47,320 over 14 years across multiple books.

Would welcome transparency requirement. But books would fight it aggressively.

Customer retention depends on unclear performance metrics.
 
Oh god I don't track properly.

Probably down overall despite being up on rugby.

Those drunk Wales bets add up innit.

Seeing the exact number would hurt.
 
i know im down like 15k lifetime maybe more... seeing it every time i login would probably destroy me... but maybe thats what i need... cant ignore it if its staring at you...
 
Worked at exchange. This suggestion comes up regularly in regulatory discussions.

Industry lobbies hard against it. Arguments:
- "Interferes with customer experience"
- "Creates negative user journey"
- "Privacy concerns"

Translation: Would reduce revenue by forcing accountability.
 
Oli what percentage of customers do books estimate would quit if shown lifetime losses?
 
Internal estimates I saw: 15-25% churn within first month.

Particularly among recreational losers who don't track results.

Confronting reality too painful. Easier to quit than face losses.
 
Optional defeats purpose.

People who need intervention most would never enable it.

Requires mandatory disclosure for behavioral impact.
 
This is quite an interesting regulatory proposal that touches on transparency and consumer protection, I already maintain meticulous records so this would tell me nothing new, my lifetime profit across all bookmakers is approximately £127,000 over thirty years, however for someone like Conor who has lost significantly and may not fully comprehend the scope of his losses this forced transparency could be therapeutic intervention, seeing "You have lost £15,000 lifetime" every login might create the psychological pressure needed to stop or seek help, the question is whether this represents appropriate paternalism or excessive interference in personal choice, I lean toward supporting such regulation because the information asymmetry currently favors bookmakers who benefit from customer ignorance about their own performance.
 
Prof's got a point.

If I had to see my Wales betting losses every login, might actually stop drunk betting on them.

The shame would be real.
 
This could be expanded too:

"Your win rate on parlays: 12.4%"
"Your ROI on live betting: -18.7%"
"Your average bet when alcohol tag enabled: -$127"

Granular data forcing self-awareness.
 
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