Benfica vs Real Madrid Preview (Tuesday, 17.02.2026) Champions League:
Possible starting lineups:
Benfica:
Trubin; Dedic, Araujo, Otamendi, Dahl; Barreiro, Barrenechea; Prestianni, Sudakov, Schjelderup; Pavlidis
Real Madrid:
Courtois; Carreras, Huijsen, Rudiger, Alexander-Arnold; Camavinga, Tchouameni, Valverde; Vinicius, Mbappe, Guler
Benfica and Real Madrid face each other this Tuesday in Lisbon in the UEFA Champions League playoff's first leg. Interesting, exactly these two teams played the most eventful match in the last round of the group stage. Benfica had a 3:2 lead and looked set to go out in painful fashion, on goals scored, despite winning the game. However, a free-kick deep into the stoppage time gave them one last chance. Goalkeeper Anatoliy Trubin was sent up and the Ukrainian timed his run to perfection to meet the cross with a header past Courtois. The fourth goal saw the Eagles finishing 24th in the standings, securing the next stage on goal difference. The victory sparked wild celebrations in Lisbon as not many fans were expecting such scenario after Benfica lost their first four games in the league phase. Jose Mourinho did a miracle with his first-ever victory against Real Madrid.
Just three weeks later, Benfica will welcome Real Madrid once again. They will try to replicate the result, but will be satisfy with any victory ahead of the second-leg match at Bernabeu. However, it is easier to say. Benfica are in solid form at the moment, winning the last two matches in domestic Primeira. The Eagles beat Alverca at home and Santa Clara away. The atmosphere in the squad is good, while the players confidence is higher. In the Champions League, Benfica have conceded 12 goals on 8 matches during the league phase, number that highlight their defensive weaknesses. I expect more defensive approach from Mourinho in this game. Most of the players are ready, but Fredrik Aursnes is out injured, while Samuel Soares, Joao Veloso and Richard Rios are rated as doubtful. This match come too soon for Alexander Bah, who returned to training after a long spell out with a cruciate ligament injury.
Real Madrid are the most successful club in the competition. They are always between the favorites for the trophy, including the current season. The group stage results were not at highest level, they lost three matches - Liverpool, Manchester City and already mentioned defeat to Benfica. I assume the mentioned defeats were between the reasons for Xabi Alonso's departure. New coach Alvaro Arbeloa is a temporary solution, but his results are very good. Los Blancos have five victories in La Liga under Arbeloa. They managed to beat Levante, Villarreal, Rayo Vallecano, Valencia and Real Sociedad. The players confidence is higher and much of the credit go for Arbeloa. Obviously he know how to keep the things calm. But Arbeloa has four unavailable players for this match. Raul Asencio and Rodrygo will miss out due to suspension as both were sent-off in the finish of the previous clash. The latter will also miss out the second match. In terms of injuries, Jude Bellingham and Eder Militao remain sidelined.
Benfica vs Real Madrid Prediction:
I expect an open and efficient match here. Real are attacking-oriented team, they can't play other way. Arbeloa is doing an excellent job and the fans love him. He know how to communicate with his superstars. The atmosphere in the squad is much better now, while the players confidence is very high. Arbeloa decided to rest his key player Kylian Mbappe on Saturday, but still won 4:1 against Real Sociedad. Benfica, meanwhile, will try to play the same way like they did three weeks ago, hunting opponent's defensive vulnerabilities. It was a match that produced six goals. At least three should be scored now.
Benfica vs Real Madrid Pick: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.68 with
1xBet