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Market Sharp
- Joined
- Sep 17, 2009
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- 662
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Not only do gambling systems flop to beat casino games with a house advantage, they can’t even dent it. Roulette balls and dice simply have no memory. Each spin in roulette and every throw in craps is self-determining of all past actions. In the short run you can mug yourself into thinking a betting method works, by jeopardizing a lot to win a tiny. But, in the extended run no gambling system can endure the test of time. The more you play, the ratio of cash lost to cash bet will get nearer to the expectation for that game.
In the many years I have seen thousands of believers in betting systems. Their confidence surpasses spiritual levels. But, in all things, the extra ludicrous a belief is the more stubbornly it tends to be held. Bettors have been looking for a gambling system that works for hundreds of eons, and yet the gaming clubs are still here.
Bettor's Myth
The main betting myth is that an event that has not occurred lately becomes overdue and more possible to happen. This is recognized as the “bettor’s myth.” Thousands of bettors have developed betting systems that try to exploit the bettor’s myth by betting the opposite way of fresh outcomes. For instance, waiting for three reds in roulette and then staking on black. None of it works.
A common bettors’ myth named “the doctrine of the maturity of the chances” (or “Monte Carlo fallacy”) incorrectly accepts that each play in a game of chance is not self-determining of the others and that a sequence of results of one sort should be balanced in the short run by other likelihoods. A number of “systems” have been created by bettors based largely on this myth; casinos are pleased to encourage the usage of such systems and to exploit any bettor’s negligence of the strict rules of likelihood and independent plays.
No gambling system can change an unfair game into a lucrative initiative.
The amount of ‘winning’ gambling systems, the propagation of myths and misconceptions about such systems, and the uncountable people trusting, spreading, worshiping, protecting, and swearing by such systems are mass. Gambling systems constitute one of the oldest misconceptions of betting history.
The Martingale
Martingale is basically when a player doubles his/her bet after a loss. This system is usually played with an even cash game such as the red/black bet in roulette or the pass/don’t pass bet in craps and is known as the Martingale. The idea is that by doubling your stake after a lost bet, you would constantly win sufficient to cover all previous losses plus one unit. For example if a bettor starts at $1 and loses four wagers in a row, winning on the next one, he would have lost $1+$2+$4+$8 = $15 on the four losing bets and gained $16 on the fifth bet. The losses were returned and he had a profit of $1. The tricky thing is that it is easier to miss several bets in a row and run out of gambling cash after you’ve doubled it all away.
Losing systems
The web is full of persons selling gambling systems with promises of thrashing the casino at games of luck. Persons who sell these schemes are simply trying to win money. Under no conditions should you waste money on any betting system. Every time one has been put to a computer simulation it was unsuccessful and presented the same ratio of losses to cash bet as flat gambling. If you inquire a system salesman about this you probably will get a reply such as, “In real life noone plays lots of trials in the casino.” You’re probable to also receive that his/her method works in real life, but not when used together with a computer replication. It is remarkable that specialists use pcs to model real life problems in just about every field of training, yet when it comes to gambling methods computer analysis becomes “valueless and untrustworthy,” as the salesman of one system put it. In any event, such an excuse failures the point; the PC runs billions of simulations simply to prove that a method is unreliable. If it won’t work on a PC, it won’t work in the casino.
Betting systems have been around for as long as betting has. No method has ever been verified to work. I know that system salesmen go from retailing one kind of system to another. It is a muddy business by which they rip-off ideas from each other, and are always trying to reuse old systems as something new.
System sellers usually promise absurd gains. For instance, even with just a 1% advantage on an even cash bet, it would not be hard to parlay $100 into $100 000 by betting in proportion to bankroll.
What is your take on this?
In the many years I have seen thousands of believers in betting systems. Their confidence surpasses spiritual levels. But, in all things, the extra ludicrous a belief is the more stubbornly it tends to be held. Bettors have been looking for a gambling system that works for hundreds of eons, and yet the gaming clubs are still here.
Bettor's Myth
The main betting myth is that an event that has not occurred lately becomes overdue and more possible to happen. This is recognized as the “bettor’s myth.” Thousands of bettors have developed betting systems that try to exploit the bettor’s myth by betting the opposite way of fresh outcomes. For instance, waiting for three reds in roulette and then staking on black. None of it works.
A common bettors’ myth named “the doctrine of the maturity of the chances” (or “Monte Carlo fallacy”) incorrectly accepts that each play in a game of chance is not self-determining of the others and that a sequence of results of one sort should be balanced in the short run by other likelihoods. A number of “systems” have been created by bettors based largely on this myth; casinos are pleased to encourage the usage of such systems and to exploit any bettor’s negligence of the strict rules of likelihood and independent plays.
No gambling system can change an unfair game into a lucrative initiative.
The amount of ‘winning’ gambling systems, the propagation of myths and misconceptions about such systems, and the uncountable people trusting, spreading, worshiping, protecting, and swearing by such systems are mass. Gambling systems constitute one of the oldest misconceptions of betting history.
The Martingale
Martingale is basically when a player doubles his/her bet after a loss. This system is usually played with an even cash game such as the red/black bet in roulette or the pass/don’t pass bet in craps and is known as the Martingale. The idea is that by doubling your stake after a lost bet, you would constantly win sufficient to cover all previous losses plus one unit. For example if a bettor starts at $1 and loses four wagers in a row, winning on the next one, he would have lost $1+$2+$4+$8 = $15 on the four losing bets and gained $16 on the fifth bet. The losses were returned and he had a profit of $1. The tricky thing is that it is easier to miss several bets in a row and run out of gambling cash after you’ve doubled it all away.
Losing systems
The web is full of persons selling gambling systems with promises of thrashing the casino at games of luck. Persons who sell these schemes are simply trying to win money. Under no conditions should you waste money on any betting system. Every time one has been put to a computer simulation it was unsuccessful and presented the same ratio of losses to cash bet as flat gambling. If you inquire a system salesman about this you probably will get a reply such as, “In real life noone plays lots of trials in the casino.” You’re probable to also receive that his/her method works in real life, but not when used together with a computer replication. It is remarkable that specialists use pcs to model real life problems in just about every field of training, yet when it comes to gambling methods computer analysis becomes “valueless and untrustworthy,” as the salesman of one system put it. In any event, such an excuse failures the point; the PC runs billions of simulations simply to prove that a method is unreliable. If it won’t work on a PC, it won’t work in the casino.
Betting systems have been around for as long as betting has. No method has ever been verified to work. I know that system salesmen go from retailing one kind of system to another. It is a muddy business by which they rip-off ideas from each other, and are always trying to reuse old systems as something new.
System sellers usually promise absurd gains. For instance, even with just a 1% advantage on an even cash bet, it would not be hard to parlay $100 into $100 000 by betting in proportion to bankroll.
What is your take on this?
