Barcelona vs Real Madrid
Prediction: under 3.5 goals
H2H
- Their 5 last games against each other all ended up with 3 or less goals;
- Both teams reach this big game with a bad classification and one can expect an even game, with both teams trying to not get lower in the table
Barcelona:
- Barcelona has, in 4 La Liga games, 6.12 xG and 3.78 xGA, which gives an average below 2.5 xG+xGA per game. This displays their weaker attacking potential in this start of the season.
- When we look to actual goals, Barcelona scored 8 and conceded 2, which averages 2.5 goals per game;
- 4 out of their last 5 games had 3 or less goals (and the one which did not was in Champions League).
Real Madrid:
- Real comes to this game with a slightly better form in La Liga, averaging above 2.00 xG per game. However, given the difficult nature of away games, it is expected that they cannot really translate this into a lot of goals (looking to the last 10 games at Camp Nou, Real Madrid only scored more than 2 goals once)
- Also, 4 out of their last 5 games had 3 or less goals (and the one which did not was in Champions League).
Neil M from
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