oddsfactory
Casual Punter
- Joined
- Nov 3, 2026
- Messages
- 6
- Reaction score
- 1
- Points
- 3
Hi everyone,
I'm the founder of OddsFactory AI (oddsfactoryai.com). This is my own project, so treat this as an ad. I'm posting in this section because it allows it, and because the discussions here on calibration and track records are exactly the standard I'm trying to meet.
The problem I wanted to fix
Most "AI picks" sites show a badge and a percentage. You never see why a pick exists, and the losses quietly disappear. OddsFactory works the other way: every pick explains itself, and every result is published, won or lost.
How it works
Our engine, GeODiCode™, runs in three layers:
What a pick looks like
Over 2.5 Goals @1.85 | 74%
Behavior: both teams average 1.6+ goals per match this season.
Window: full 90 minutes, not dependent on an early goal.
Risk: a cautious start could keep the score low early.
Track record (public since 23 March 2026, settled automatically, nothing graded by hand)
The blended rate is lower because it includes our higher-odds products, which win less often but pay more. Full history, wins and losses: oddsfactoryai.com/wins
What's on the site
Pricing
Free plan available. New accounts get 100 credits and a 3-day Premium trial, no card required. Premium is €49/month.
What I'd like from you
Honest feedback. Is the reasoning format useful? What would you want on the track record page: calibration by probability band, results by market, odds at time of posting? I'll answer every reply here.
Past results don't guarantee future ones, and no pick is a sure thing.
18+ | Please gamble responsibly | begambleaware.org
I'm the founder of OddsFactory AI (oddsfactoryai.com). This is my own project, so treat this as an ad. I'm posting in this section because it allows it, and because the discussions here on calibration and track records are exactly the standard I'm trying to meet.
The problem I wanted to fix
Most "AI picks" sites show a badge and a percentage. You never see why a pick exists, and the losses quietly disappear. OddsFactory works the other way: every pick explains itself, and every result is published, won or lost.
How it works
Our engine, GeODiCode™, runs in three layers:
- Statistical model: Poisson-based probabilities for 60+ markets (goals, BTTS, corners, cards, results, first half and more), built on form, home/away splits, H2H and recent averages.
- Contextual AI layer: an LLM reviews standings, injuries and match context, and can adjust the baseline within strict limits.
- Self-learning calibration: after every settled match, predicted probabilities are compared with real outcomes, and corrections are applied per league and per market.
What a pick looks like
Over 2.5 Goals @1.85 | 74%
Behavior: both teams average 1.6+ goals per match this season.
Window: full 90 minutes, not dependent on an early goal.
Risk: a cautious start could keep the score low early.
Track record (public since 23 March 2026, settled automatically, nothing graded by hand)
- Pulse feed (~2.00 odds): 54.9% win rate this month over 102 settled picks, 53.8% all time
- All products blended: 32% win rate over 1,870 settled picks, 3.13x average odds on wins
The blended rate is lower because it includes our higher-odds products, which win less often but pay more. Full history, wins and losses: oddsfactoryai.com/wins
What's on the site
- Pulse: live AI picks streaming all day. Free, no account needed.
- Free Bets: daily AI picks, no card required.
- Value Bets: where our probability disagrees with the bookmaker's price, and by how much.
- AI Bet Generator: set your target odds, and the AI builds a statistically checked bet to match.
- Bet Builder: same-match combos across five risk levels.
- Deep Search: a full AI breakdown of any match, including form, H2H, weather and 60+ markets.
- OddsFactory Premium: up to 8 themed daily bets (goals, BTTS, corners, results, mixed and a longshot) plus AI reasoning picks.
- Golden Ticket: a personalized high-odds ticket, reset every Monday.
- Wins: the complete public record.
Pricing
Free plan available. New accounts get 100 credits and a 3-day Premium trial, no card required. Premium is €49/month.
What I'd like from you
Honest feedback. Is the reasoning format useful? What would you want on the track record page: calibration by probability band, results by market, odds at time of posting? I'll answer every reply here.
Past results don't guarantee future ones, and no pick is a sure thing.
18+ | Please gamble responsibly | begambleaware.org
