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NHL Picks 2019-2020 by Professor MJ

NHL Picks for Sunday November 17

The betting systems are still on fire, 4-1 over past two days with many underdogs hitting!

RECORD:
  • Bets won = 23
  • Bets lost = 19
  • Profit = +$9.96 (from RISKING 1$ on every play)

Today's picks are (odds from Pinnacle):
  • 2 STARS = Sabres (at +123 or 2.23) at Blackhawks
  • 2 STARS = Flames (at +136 or 2.36) at Golden Knights

Good Sunday!

Professor MJ
 
Everygame
NHL Picks for Monday November 18

Both picks lost yesterday (two underdogs), unfortunately. Still a good cushion in profit territory, let's rebound tonight!

RECORD:
  • Bets won = 23
  • Bets lost = 21
  • Profit = +$7.96 (from RISKING 1$ on every play)

Today's picks are (odds from Pinnacle):
  • 2 STARS = Kings (at +145 or 2.45) at Coyotes
  • 1 STAR = Ducks (at +194 or 2.94) at Capitals

Good luck with your plays!

Professor MJ
 
NHL Picks for Tuesday November 19

For the second straight day, both picks lost.

We knew a losing streak was bound to happen, eventually. Let's hope it does not last very long!

RECORD:
  • Bets won = 23
  • Bets lost = 23
  • Profit = +$5.96 (from RISKING 1$ on every play)

Today's picks are (odds from Pinnacle):
  • 5 STARS = Blues (at +106 or 2.06) vs Lightning
  • 2 STARS = Flyers (at +120 or 2.20) at Panthers
  • 2 STARS = Islanders (at +113 or 2.13) at Penguins
  • 2 STARS = Blue Jackets (at +107 or 2.07) vs Canadiens
  • 2 STARS = Canucks (at +130 or 2.30) at Stars
  • 2 STARS = Maple Leafs (at +131 or 2.31) at Golden Knights
  • 2 STARS = Oilers (at +123 or 2.23) at Sharks
  • 1 STAR = Jets (at +166 or 2.66) at Predators

The Blues pick is based on three betting systems: "The Big Upset", "The Snapped Winning Streak" and "The Cold Teams Matchup".

Here are the details of "The Big Upset" strategy:

"Suppose Team A upsets Team B with odds greater than 2.70 in decimal format (i.e. +170 in American format). If Team B's next game is against a different opponent called Team C, bet Team C is its money line is greater than 1.667 in decimal format (i.e. -150 in American format, to avoid betting big favorites which did not prove to be profitable)."

Tampa's last game was a 4-3 loss to Winnipeg, where the Jets' money line was 2.88. For this reason, we are going to bet AGAINST the Lightning tonight (since St. Louis is NOT a big favorite today).

Cheers!

Professor MJ
 
NHL Picks for Wednesday November 20

5 wins and 3 losses last night. Considering all 8 picks were on underdogs, we made a nice 3.15 unit profit.

RECORD:
  • Bets won = 28
  • Bets lost = 26
  • Profit = +$9.11 (from RISKING 1$ on every play)

Only one pick today (odds from Bookmaker):
  • 1 STAR = Rangers (at +158 or 2.58) vs Capitals

The pick is based on "The Porous Defense" betting angle:

"Suppose a team allows 4+ goals in each of its past two games. Bet them tonight if they are playing at home with a money line greater than 2.05 (i.e. +105 in American format)."

Using this system over a nine-year period led to 27.64-unit gains via 267 bets.

The Rangers have allowed 4 and 9 goals in their last two meetings, respectively. Since they are indeed home underdogs, we are backing them tonight at MSG.

Good day!

Professor MJ
 
NHL Picks for Thursday November 21

Nice hit with the Rangers upsetting the top team in the league last night, yet another rewarding betting day!

RECORD:
  • Bets won = 29
  • Bets lost = 26
  • Profit = +$10.69 (from RISKING 1$ on every play)

Today's picks are:
  • 5 STARS = Red Wings (at +151 or 2.51) at Blue Jackets
  • 4 STARS = Sabres (at +192 or 2.92) at Bruins
  • 4 STARS = Flyers (at +144 or 2.44) at Hurricanes
  • 4 STARS = Maple Leafs (at +103 or 2.03) at Coyotes
  • 2 STARS = Flames (at +135 or 2.35) at Blues

The Detroit pick is rated 5 stars because it meets the criteria of three different betting angles: "The Scoring Drought", "The Stingy Goalies" and "The Cold Team versus Hot Team matchup".

Let's stay hot!

Professor MJ
 
NHL Picks for Monday November 25

What's up hockey fans, I hope you had a nice weekend!

Here are the plays recommended by my 10 betting systems for today.

RECORD:
  • Bets won = 31
  • Bets lost = 29
  • Profit = +$10.16 (from RISKING 1$ on every play)

Today's picks are:
  • 5 STARS = Ducks (at +113 or 2.13) vs Islanders
  • 4 STARS = Golden Knights (at +112 or 2.12) at Stars
  • 3 STARS = Sabres (at +213 or 3.13) at Lightning
  • 3 STARS = Senators (at +143 or 2.43) at Blue Jackets

The Anaheim pick is rated 5 stars because it meets the criteria of three different betting angles.

One of them is "The Cold Teams Matchup" strategy:

"Bet a home underdog if it has lost at least 3 straight games and facing a team that has lost 1-2 game(s) in a row."

This system led to 44.95-unit gains over a nine-year period (through 141 bets).

Have a good Monday!

Professor MJ
 
NHL Picks for Tuesday November 26

RECORD:
  • Bets won = 32
  • Bets lost = 32
  • Profit = +$8.29 (from RISKING 1$ on every play)

Just one system play today:

1 STAR = Bruins (at -114 or 1.88) at Canadiens

This pick is based on "The Big Upset" betting system, which goes like this:

"Suppose Team A upsets Team B with odds greater than 2.70 (i.e. +170 in American format). If Team B's next game is against Team D whose money line is greater than 1.667 (i.e. -150 in American format), bet Team D."

The latter part allows us to avoid betting big favorites; past data suggest they are not good value bets under such circumstances.

Over a nine-year period, this strategy yielded a profit of 27.81 units via 600 bets.

It is not one of my favorite betting angles for a few reasons, which is why such picks are rated just 1 star. This season thus far: +4.04 from 18 bets.

Montreal was the victim of a fairly big upset in their last game; the Rangers beat them despite 2.98 odds. According to the criteria above, we are therefore betting against them tonight.

Cheers!

Professor MJ
 
NHL Picks for Wednesday November 27

RECORD:
  • Bets won = 33
  • Bets lost = 32
  • Profit = +$9.17 (from RISKING 1$ on every play)

Today's picks are:
  • 5 STARS = Blues (at +138 or 2.38) at Lightning
  • 2 STARS = Panthers (at +138 or 2.38) at Capitals
  • 2 STARS = Golden Knights (at +117 or 2.17) at Predators
  • 2 STARS = Jets (at +125 or 2.25) at Sharks
  • 1 STAR = Ducks (at +127 or 2.27) at Coyotes

The Blues pick is based on three betting systems at a time, including "The Cold Team vs Hot Team Matchup", which goes like this:

"Bet a road team coming off 2+ straight LOSSES when facing a home team coming off 2+ straight WINS. Bet only if the road team's money line is greater than 2.25 in decimal format."

Over a nine-year period, this strategy yielded a profit of 42.69 units via 428 bets.

In this case, St. Louis is undergoing a two-game losing skid, while Tampa is riding a three-game winning streak. Since the odds on the Blues are indeed larger than 2.25, we are betting them tonight!

Have a nice day all!

Professor MJ
 
NHL Picks for Thursday November 28

3-2 last night despite picking 5 underdogs, so a good money making day (+1.80 units)!

Both losses by a one-goal margin, so we had a legitimate shot at a perfect 5-0 record.

RECORD:

  • Bets won = 36
  • Bets lost = 34
  • Profit = +$10.97 (from RISKING 1$ on every play)

Just one game in the NHL today. My 10 betting systems recommend staying away from that game.

I still wanted to wish a great Thanksgiving day to my American friends! Enjoy your day with your loved ones!

Professor MJ
 
NHL Picks for Friday November 29

Today's system picks are:
  • 5 STARS = Red Wings (at +221 or 3.21) at Flyers
  • 3 STARS = Kings (at +140 or 2.40) at Sharks
  • 3 STARS = Blues (at +135 or 2.35) at Stars
  • 2 STARS = Senators (at +167 or 2.67) at Wild
  • 2 STARS = Capitals (at -111 or 1.90) vs Lightning
  • 1 STAR = Predators (at +114 or 2.14) at Hurricanes

Happy Friday!

Professor MJ
 
NHL Picks for Monday December 2

RECORD:
  • Bets won = 39
  • Bets lost = 37
  • Profit = +$11.36 (from RISKING 1$ on every play)

Today's system picks are:
  • 2 STARS = Golden Knights (at -132 or 1.76) at Rangers
  • 1 STAR = RedWings (at +177 or 2.77) vs Islanders

The Detroit pick is based on "The Porous Defense" betting angle:

"Suppose a team allows 4+ goals in each of its past two games. Bet them tonight if they are playing at home with a money line greater than 2.05 (i.e. +105 in American format)."

Using this system over a nine-year period led to 27.64-unit gains via 267 bets.

The Wings have allowed 5 and 6 goals in their last two meetings, respectively. Since they are indeed home underdogs, we are backing them tonight.

It also fits my contrarian approach; they won't be a sexy pick considering they have lost their past nine games.

Professor MJ
 
NHL Picks for Tuesday December 3

RECORD:
  • Bets won = 40
  • Bets lost = 38
  • Profit = +$11.12 (from RISKING 1$ on every play)

Today's system picks are (what??? 9 system picks out of 10 games, I've never seen that before!):
  • 5 STARS = Stars (at -109 or 1.92) at Jets
  • 4 STARS = Hurricanes (at +135 or 2.35) at Bruins
  • 4 STARS = Maple Leafs (at -114 or 1.88) at Flyers
  • 4 STARS = Coyotes (at +119 or 2.19) at Blue Jackets
  • 3 STARS = Lightning (at +104 or 2.04) at Predators
  • 2 STARS = Senators (at +145 or 2.45) at Canucks
  • 2 STARS = Sharks (at +107 or 2.07) vs Capitals
  • 1 STAR = Islanders (at +111 or 2.11) at Canadiens
  • 1 STAR = Devils (at +125 or 2.25) vs Golden Knights

The Dallas pick is based on the following three betting systems: "The Scoring Drought", "The Stingy Goalies" and "The Snapped Winning Streak". The latter goes like this:

"Bet against a team whose winning streak of length 3+ was just snapped in their previous game. Bet only if your team's money line is greater than 1.667 (i.e. -150 in American format)."

This betting strategy used over a nine-year period led to gains of $87.34 through 1045 bets.

In this case, the Jets just got their three-game winning streak snapped, so we are fading them tonight.

Professor MJ
 
NHL Picks for Wednesday December 4

Ouch. Tough day last night, as almost half of our yearly profit disappeared.

That's ok. Gotta learn to cope with losing streaks when doing sports investments.

RECORD:
  • Bets won = 42
  • Bets lost = 45
  • Profit = +$6.35 (from RISKING 1$ on every play)

Today's system picks are:
  • 2 STARS = Senators (at +190 or 2.90) at Oilers
  • 2 STARS = Kings (at +121 or 2.21) vs Capitals

The Los Angeles pick is based on "The Hot Scorers" betting angle:

"Suppose a team has scored 4+ goals in each of its past 3 games. Bet AGAINST that team if they are on the road tonight."

This system yielded a profit of 45.08 units via 332 bets over a nine-year period.

Now, the Caps have scored 5, 5 and 4 goals in their three most recent matchups. Considering they are the visiting team tonight, we are fading them.

Professor MJ
 
NHL Picks for Thursday December 5

1-1 last night for a +0.90 unit profit since the Sens were able to pull off a big upset in Edmonton.

RECORD:
  • Bets won = 43
  • Bets lost = 46
  • Profit = +$7.25 (from RISKING 1$ on every play)

Today's system picks are:
  • 5 STARS = Blackhawks (at +199 or 2.99) at Bruins
  • 4 STARS = Coyotes (at +134 or 2.34) at Flyers
  • 3 STARS = Sabres (at +144 or 2.44) at Flames
  • 2 STARS = Sharks (at +145 or 2.45) at Hurricanes
  • 1 STAR = Jets (at +140 or 2.40) at Stars

The Arizona pick is based on two betting systems, including "The Hot Teams Matchup" betting angle:

"Bet a road team coming off 1-2 straight win(s) when facing a home team coming off 3+ straight wins."

This system yielded a profit of 66.87 units via 483 bets over a nine-year period.

According to this betting strategy, since the Coyotes have won one game in a row and the Flyers are riding a five-game winning streak, we're going to back Arizona.

Thanks for reading!

Professor MJ
 
NHL Picks for Friday December 6

The 5-star and 4-star plays hit last night!

Despite a 2-3 record, we made a profit thanks in large part to the Blackhawks pulling off the big upset in Boston!

RECORD:
  • Bets won = 45
  • Bets lost = 49
  • Profit = +$7.58 (from RISKING 1$ on every play)

Only one team meets the criteria of one of my 10 NHL betting systems:
  • 3 STARS = Kings (at +146 or 2.46) at Oilers

This pick relies on "The Big Upset" and "The Scoring Drought" strategies.

Here are the details of "The Big Upset" angle:

"Suppose Team A upsets Team B with odds greater than 2.70 (i.e. +170 in American format. If Team B's next game is against Team C, bet Team C if its money line is greater than 1.667 (i.e. -150 in American format)."

This system yielded a profit of 27.81 units via 600 bets over a nine-year period. Not my personal favorite, but I'm still using it.

In Edmonton's last game, they were upset at home against the Sens. Ottawa's money line was much bigger than 2.70. According to the system, we need to bet AGAINST the Oilers, which means we're taking the Kings (unless they had been big favorites, which is not the case here).

I'll talk to you again Monday, unless... If you wish to receive the NHL system plays for all 4 weekends in December, please go here.

Professor MJ
 
NHL Picks for Monday December 9

RECORD:
  • Bets won = 45
  • Bets lost = 50
  • Profit = +$6.58 (from RISKING 1$ on every play)

Today's plays based on my 10 NHL betting systems:
  • 5 STARS = Blue Jackets (at +198 or 2.98) at Capitals
  • 2 STARS = Flames (at +140 or 2.40) at Avalanche

Cheers!

Professor MJ
 
NHL Picks for Tuesday December 10

VERY NICE!! Both picks hit last night (both underdogs), including the 5-star play as the Blue Jackets upset the Caps in Washington!

RECORD:
  • Bets won = 47
  • Bets lost = 50
  • Profit = +$9.96 (from RISKING 1$ on every play)

Today's plays based on my 10 NHL betting systems:
  • 4 STARS = Canadiens (at +145 or 2.45) at Penguins
  • 4 STARS = Ducks (at +145 or 2.45) at Wild
  • 4 STARS = RedWings (at +210 or 3.10) at Jets
  • 2 STARS = Sharks (at +150 or 2.50) at Predators
  • 2 STARS = Devils (at +179 or 2.79) at Stars
  • 1 STAR = Blackhawks (at +176 or 2.76) at Golden Knights
  • 1 STAR = Rangers (at +106 or 2.06) at Kings

The Rangers pick barely qualifies under "The Blowout" betting system:

Bet a team that blew out its previous opponent by a margin of 3+ goals. The team we bet must be on the road and its money line must be greater than 2.05 (which essentially means they must be underdogs).

This betting angle generated gains of 60.49 units over 818 bets through a 9-year span.

The Rangers' last game was a convincing 5-0 win over Vegas. Since they are indeed on the road tonight with odds barely above 2.05, we are backing them.

Good luck guys!

Professor MJ
 
NHL Picks for Wednesday December 11

We lost close to 2 units last night, but at least the top two picks hit.

RECORD:
  • Bets won = 49
  • Bets lost = 55
  • Profit = +$7.86 (from RISKING 1$ on every play)

Today's plays based on my 10 NHL betting systems:
  • 5 STARS = Bruins (at +112 or 2.12) at Capitals
  • 3 STARS = Senators (at +176 or 2.76) at Canadiens
  • 2 STARS = Flyers (at +141 or 2.41) at Avalanche

The Boston pick meets the criteria of three betting angles at a time: "The Big Upset", "The Scoring Drought" and "The Snapped Winning Streak".

Let's see how we do with those system plays!

Professor MJ
 
NHL System Picks for Thursday December 12

The December slide continued last night... Still in profit territory this season, but got cut down recently.

RECORD:
  • Bets won = 49
  • Bets lost = 58
  • Profit = +$4.86 (from RISKING 1$ on every play)

Today's plays based on my 10 NHL betting systems:
  • 3 STARS = Blue Jackets (at +150 or 2.50) at Penguins
  • 2 STARS = Bruins (at +131 or 2.31) at Lightning
  • 2 STARS = Oilers (at +111 or 2.11) at Wild
  • 2 STARS = Maple Leafs (at -109 or 1.92) at Flames
  • 2 STARS = Blackhawks (at +131 or 2.31) at Coyotes
  • 1 STAR = Islanders (at +106 or 2.06) at Panthers
  • 1 STAR = RedWings (at +166 or 2.66) vs Jets
  • 1 STAR = Canucks (at +115 or 2.15) vs Hurricanes

A total of 8 system plays, but none rated 4-5 stars? That's odd...

Let's hope for a nice rebound tonight!

Professor MJ
 
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