NCAAB Free Pick 03/09/2026

cRUTHIK13

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Dec 20, 2025
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Points
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Robert Morris -203

1. Detroit has been one of the worst defensive teams in the Horizon



Detroit gives up points in bunches. They’re near the bottom of the conference in:


  • Defensive efficiency
  • Opponent FG%
  • Points allowed per game

Robert Morris doesn’t need an elite offensive night to win - average shooting can be enough vs Detroit’s defense.




2. Robert Morris plays more structured half-court offense


RMU tends to:


  • Run more disciplined sets
  • Limit reckless possessions
  • Attack mismatches inside

Detroit often turns games into chaotic, high-pace shootouts, which leads to bad defensive rotations and easy looks.


That style benefits the more disciplined team, which is RMU.


3. Turnovers likely favor RMU


Detroit historically struggles with:


  • Ball security
  • Forced drives into traffic

Robert Morris usually plays cleaner basketball, meaning:


  • More shot attempts
  • Easier transition opportunities

Extra possessions are huge in a close Horizon matchup.




4. Detroit struggles closing tight games


Late-game execution has been a major issue for Detroit:


  • Missed free throws
  • Defensive breakdowns
  • Poor shot selection late in the clock

Robert Morris tends to be more composed in late-game situations, which matters if this spreads around -1 to -3 or pick’em.



5. Horizon tournament / late-season angle


Games around this time of year often favor:


  • The more balanced roster
  • The team with better defensive discipline

Robert Morris checks both boxes.




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