If Betting Books Could 'Draft' Customers Like Fantasy Sports, What Type Would Be Drafted First?

Where do I rank?

I'm profitable overall but bet drunk on Wales sometimes.
 
Taffy mid-rounds.

Profitable on rugby but provide value on emotional Wales bets and pub betting.

Mixed asset. Round 3-4 pick.
 
Taffy draft analysis:

Concerns: Overall profitable, disciplined on most bets
Positives: Emotional betting on Wales, impaired decision-making while drinking, occasional high-risk accumulators

Projection: Late Round 2 / Early Round 3. Profit potential with targeted promotions during Wales matches.
 
"Profit potential with targeted promotions during Wales matches"

F**king hell Klaus that's exactly what they do.

Paddy Power sends me Wales boosts constantly.
 
Taffy that's because you're a known Wales bettor.

They're exploiting your emotional attachment.

You're literally being farmed.
 
This is getting dark but it's important.

Books absolutely profile customers and target promotions to exploit weaknesses.
 
Fade: Undrafted or Mr. Irrelevant (last pick).

Profitable bettor, gets limited quickly. Negative value to books.
 
Same for me, Klaus, Oli, Prof.

We're all "do not draft" tier.

Books lose money on us and limit us immediately.
 
Winning bettor draft status:

SharpEddie: Do not draft - verified long-term winner
Klaus: Do not draft - systematic approach, profitable
oli_sussex: Do not draft - former industry employee, too knowledgeable
Prof: Do not draft - 30-year winning record
FadeThePublic: Late round/undrafted - marginally profitable, gets limited
CoachTony: Late round - small winner, specialized, low volume

None of us first-round material from book perspective.
 
Tony it means you're good enough that books don't want you, but not so good they actively avoid you.

You're in the zone of "tolerates but watches."
 
I find this exercise quite illuminating, from the bookmaker's perspective I would be completely undraftable, thirty years of verified profitability, systematic methodology, extensive record-keeping, they would actively avoid acquiring me as a customer, whereas someone like Conor who loses consistently but continues betting would be their ideal selection, this reveals the fundamental misalignment between bookmaker interests and customer welfare, they profit from exactly the behavior patterns we identify as problematic gambling, the draft metaphor makes this uncomfortably explicit, books are not seeking skilled customers they are seeking vulnerable customers.
 
Prof that's the dark truth innit.

Books want addicts not analysts.
 
yeah im the addict they want... perfect customer... high volume always losing never stopping... theyre probably celebrating every time i deposit...
 
Conor that's probably true man.

You're high lifetime value for them.

That's why they'll never limit you even though you lose.
 
Correct observation.

Books limit winners immediately.
Books never limit consistent losers.

Business model explicitly anti-meritocratic.
 
Yes Princess. That's their business model.

They want you to lose just enough to stay engaged but not so much you quit.
 
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