Hedging Against Your Own Team - The Taboo Bet Nobody Talks About

TaffyTipster

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I've laid Wales to win.

Said it openly in this forum before in passing. Saying it clearly now.

The Six Nations 2020. Wales were in a position where the Grand Slam was still theoretically possible with two matches left. I had a pre-tournament outright on Wales at decent odds.

Wales's price to win the tournament had shortened significantly. I laid them at a price considerably shorter than I'd backed them at, locking in a guaranteed profit regardless of outcome.

The match they subsequently needed to win: I watched with money on them to win and money on them not to win.

Wales scored. I felt something specific that wasn't pure joy. There was an undercurrent of financial calculation running alongside the sporting celebration.

Wales eventually didn't win the tournament. I collected on the lay. I'd already collected the back. Net profit.

Also: I'd watched two Wales matches in a Six Nations campaign with a financial stake in Wales losing specific things. The experience of supporting Wales while having money on Wales to fail: not something I'd recommend.

The taboo is real. The execution is possible. The experience is stranger than expected.
 
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