TaffyTipster
Market Sharp
- Joined
- Nov 2, 2022
- Messages
- 729
- Reaction score
- 10
- Points
- 8
Honest answer first.
Yes.
The specific differences.
Stake sizes: higher. Not dramatically. Enough to notice the next morning.
Selection quality: worse in a specific way. The bets that seem obvious after three pints are the bets that seemed obvious to everyone else as well. The value calculation doesn't happen. The market has already priced the obvious.
Frequency: higher. The gap between bets shortens. The waiting that normally exists between identifying a selection and placing it disappears.
The most specific difference: I stop checking the closing line against my opening view. The step where I ask whether the price has moved against me before placing. That step requires a specific quality of attention that the third pint removes.
The Welsh rugby community in Cardiff is a pub community. The Six Nations is a pub competition as much as it's a sporting one. The bet placed at the Owain Glyndwr before the Wales match and the bet placed at the same pub three hours later after Wales have won are placed by two different people using the same phone.
The second person doesn't know he's different from the first person.
That specific not-knowing is what this thread is about.
Yes.
The specific differences.
Stake sizes: higher. Not dramatically. Enough to notice the next morning.
Selection quality: worse in a specific way. The bets that seem obvious after three pints are the bets that seemed obvious to everyone else as well. The value calculation doesn't happen. The market has already priced the obvious.
Frequency: higher. The gap between bets shortens. The waiting that normally exists between identifying a selection and placing it disappears.
The most specific difference: I stop checking the closing line against my opening view. The step where I ask whether the price has moved against me before placing. That step requires a specific quality of attention that the third pint removes.
The Welsh rugby community in Cardiff is a pub community. The Six Nations is a pub competition as much as it's a sporting one. The bet placed at the Owain Glyndwr before the Wales match and the bet placed at the same pub three hours later after Wales have won are placed by two different people using the same phone.
The second person doesn't know he's different from the first person.
That specific not-knowing is what this thread is about.
