Baseball Super Series Betting System

[rbies]

Starting with the first series in May 2011, I will periodically post picks based on the Baseball Super Series Betting System.

The system is based on this simple premise: The STRONGER team playing better right NOW, should win the majority of baseball series.

For the purpose of this system we consider a win to mean 1 game in a 2-game series, 2 games in a 3-game series, and 3 games in a 4-game series.

The criteria we use to determine the STRONGER team is two-fold:

- ESPN’s Relative Power Index (RPI); and

- Road vs. Home win/loss percentage. For example, if New York is playing the Red Sox in Boston, we compare New York’s win/loss percentage on the “road” to Boston’s win/loss percentage at “home”.

The criteria we use to determine which team is playing better right NOW:

- For home teams, we look at the win/loss record for the last seven games (L-7) at home. For away teams we look at the win/loss record for the last seven games (L-7) on the road. For example, if New York is the road team, we compare their “road” record over the last seven games to Boston’s “home” record over the last seven games.

- For the overall win/loss record for the last ten games (L-10), whether on the road or at home, we count the wins and losses over the last ten games.

I’m not able to get into all of the eligibility and elimination rules here. If you are interested in learning more of how the system works and how we manage the odds, you can download the full system for free at ** link removed by moderator

The system also includes plenty of examples so that you can better understand how it works.

Again, you don’t need to understand how the system works since I will start posting the picks in the first week of May.

Best of luck,

 

[rbies]

Finally, we can start betting using the Baseball Super Series Betting System.

This is NOT a Chase system! For each series, we are betting that one team will win the series. For example, using the Dodgers below, we are betting that the Dodgers will win 2 of 3 games against the Cubs.

For Monday, May 2nd, the eligible series are:

1) LA Dodgers over Chicago Cubs (3-game series)
2) Pittsburgh Pirates over San Diego (3-game series)

Notes:
1) The odds are already quite high for the Dodger’s first game of the series . Pinnacle and 5Dimes have the Dodgers to win at -198. I personally split this between Run Line and Money Line (-1.5 33%, ML 67%)

2) The Pirates are big dogs at +141 in the first game (this doesn’t happen often). Although I will count this as a loss if Pittsburgh loses, I just want to let you know that I personally split my wager between the Run Line and Money Line (+1.5 30%, ML 70%). That way if Pittsburgh loses by 1 run, I will at least break even on my wager.

If you would like the rules for this system, you can download it for free at Guide to Baseball Betting http://www.guide-to-baseball-betting.com/

Best of luck,

Robert

 

[rbies]

The Baseball Super Series Betting System is based on a common sense approach that a stronger MLB team playing better right now, whether playing at home or on the road, will win the majority of its baseball series.

For the purpose of this system, we consider a win to mean 1 game in a two-game series, 2 games in a three-game series, and 3 games in a four-game series.

It was a good first day for the Baseball Super Series System as it went 2-0 for +1.91 units.

For Tuesday, May 3rd, the eligible series are:

1. GM 2: Dodgers over Chi Cubs (3-game series)
2. GM 2: Pirates over San Diego (3-game series)
3. GM 1: Royals over Bal Orioles (3-game series)
4. GM 1: Phillies over Was Nationals (3-game series)
5. GM 1: Rockies over D-Backs (3-game series)

Everyone's money management strategy will be different. I bet 1.25% on each game. Also, for odds between -150 and -200, I split between money line and run line.

Best of luck,

Bob

 

[rbies]

For Wednesday, May 4th, the picks are:

1. GM 3: Dodgers over Chi Cubs (3-game series)
2. GM 3: Pirates over San Diego (3-game series)
3. GM 2: Royals over Bal Orioles (3-game series)
4. GM 2: Phillies over Was Nationals (3-game series)
5. GM 2: Rockies over D-Backs (3-game series)

2011 Record: Series 0-0-0, Games 4-3, Units +0.27

Best of luck,

Bob

 

[rbies]

Status of Current Series:

• LA Dodgers/Chicago Cubs (Loss 2-1)
  Pit Pirates/San Diego (Won 2-1)
  KC Royals/Bal Orioles (Tied 1-1)
  Phi Phillies/Was Nationals (Won 2-0)
  Col Rockies/Arizona D-Backs (Tied 1-1)

For Thursday, May 5th, the picks are:

• KC Royals -106 over Bal Orioles
  Col Rockies +106 over Arizona D-Backs

2011 Record: Series 2-1-0, Games 7-5, Units +1.03 (each unit = $100)

 

[rbies]

Results of Last Series:
LA Dodgers/Chicago Cubs (Lost 1-2)
Pit Pirates/San Diego (Won 2-1)
KC Royals/Bal Orioles (Won 2-1)
Phi Phillies/Was Nationals (Won 2-0)
Col Rockies/Arizona D-Backs (Lost 1-2)

For Friday, May 6th, the picks are:
Royals +109 over Oakland
Mariners -170/+133 over White Sox *
Florida -154 over Nationals
Cardinals -145 over Milwaukee
Colorado +106 over Giants

* Split wager 70% ML/30% RL on Seattle (will record as split wager)

2011 Record: Series 3-2-0, Games 8-6, Units +0.97 (each unit = $100)

 

[rbies]

Status of Current Series:
Mariners/White Sox (0-1-1)
Florida/Nationals (Lost 0-2-0)
Royals/Oakland (1-1-0)
Cardinals/Milwaukee (1-1-0)
Rockies/Giants (0-1-1)

For Sunday, May 8th, the picks are:
Royals -105 over Oakland
Mariners -106 over White Sox
Florida -147 over Nationals
Cardinals -133 over Milwaukee
Colorado -120 over SF Giants

2011 Record: Series 3-3-0, Games 10-12-2, Units -3.19 (each unit = $100)

 

[delois201]

Thanks for the info and goodluck

 

[rbies]

For Tuesday, May 10, the picks are:
Cin Reds -120 over Houston
STL Cardinals -115 over Cubs
SF Giants -190 over Arizona
ATL Braves -203 over Washington

2011 Record: Series 4-6-0, Games 13-15-2, Units -3.99 (each unit = $100)

 

[rbies]

Status of 3rd MLB Series:
Reds/Astros (Won 2-0-0)
Braves/Nationals (0-1-0)
Cardinals/Cubs (1-0-0)
Giants/D-Backs (0-0-0)

Picks for Wednesday, May 11th:
Braves -202
Cardinals +116
Giants -161

2011 Record: Series 5-6-0, Games 16-16-1, Units -2.81 (each unit = $100)

 

[rbies]

Results of 3rd MLB Series:
Reds/Astros (Won 2-0-0)
Braves/Nationals (Lost 1-2-0)
Cardinals/Cubs (Won 2-1-0)
Giants/D-Backs (Won 2-0-0)

NEW Series Picks for Friday, May 13th:
NY YANKEES vs. Boston -115
OAKLAND A’S vs. White Sox -116
SF GIANTS vs. Cubs +101
LA DODGERS vs. D-Backs -178

2011 Record: Series 7-7-0, Games 20-18-1, Units -2.44 (each unit = $100)