The Gambler's Ruin Problem: Is Betting Mathematically Impossible Without Infinite Bankroll?

If you're okay with the risk of losing your whole bankroll eventually, then yes it's fine.

Just understand the mathematical consequences.
 
this whole thread is making me realize how little i understood about what i was doing... like i just bet whatever whenever... no wonder i lost so much money...
 
The psychological difficulty of Kelly betting cannot be overstated, during our 2011 losing streak when Margaret and I lost forty-seven units our bankroll dropped substantially which meant our proper Kelly bet sizes also decreased significantly, the temptation to maintain previous bet sizes to recover losses quickly was enormous but we maintained discipline and reduced our stakes proportionally, within six months we had recovered and our Kelly percentages gradually increased again as bankroll rebuilt, this is the crucial test that most bettors fail, they refuse to decrease bet size during drawdowns which violates Kelly principles and exposes them to ruin risk.
 
Prof that's the hard part innit.

You're losing and your bets get SMALLER not bigger.

Feels wrong even though it's right.
 
That's exactly why most people can't follow Kelly.

During a losing streak your bets shrink, which feels like giving up.

But mathematically it's the only way to avoid ruin.
 
I'll be honest - I struggle with this too.

When I'm down, I want to bet bigger to get back to even faster.

Have to consciously fight that urge.
 
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