ThePuntingProf's latest activity
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TThePuntingProf replied to the thread Do You Lie to Yourself About Your Losses Before You Lie to Anyone Else?.The absence of a pre-bet written record means the self-deception has no external check, and I want to add one final specific observation...
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TThePuntingProf replied to the thread The Bet That Felt Like Prayer - When You Weren't Betting the Match at All.I want to add the final observation that I've been working toward since writing my earlier post which is about what the prayer bet...
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TThePuntingProf replied to the thread Do You Lie to Yourself About Your Losses Before You Lie to Anyone Else?.The internal accounting that precedes external presentation is the one I've spent the most time examining honestly and I want to...
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TThePuntingProf replied to the thread What Do You Miss About Being a Fan Who Didn't Bet? The Before-Version of Watching Sport.The window Tony describes is the thing I've been trying to articulate about Margaret and I want to try again more precisely, because...
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TThePuntingProf replied to the thread The Promoted and Relegated Club - Market Inefficiency at the Boundary Between Divisions?.I want to close the thread with the yo-yo club observation because it's the specific case that most clearly illustrates the entire...
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TThePuntingProf replied to the thread The Bet That Felt Like Prayer - When You Weren't Betting the Match at All.I want to describe the specific period I've never described directly in this forum because the thread has arrived at the place where not...
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TThePuntingProf replied to the thread What Do You Miss About Being a Fan Who Didn't Bet? The Before-Version of Watching Sport.I need to answer this question carefully because for me it has a specific complication that I want to acknowledge before describing what...
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TThePuntingProf replied to the thread Expected Points and Advanced NFL Metrics - Are They Already Priced In?.The distinction Princess has arrived at is the one that I think most precisely captures the current state of advanced NFL metrics in the...
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TThePuntingProf replied to the thread The Promoted and Relegated Club - Market Inefficiency at the Boundary Between Divisions?.The promoted club inefficiency is one I've tracked specifically since the late 1990s and the pattern has been consistent enough across...
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TThePuntingProf replied to the thread The First Time You Felt Like a Gambler Rather Than a Bettor - Is There Even a Difference?.The gap Conor describes between the external presentation and the internal experience is the one that I think the bettor-gambler...
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TThePuntingProf replied to the thread The Accumulator Culture - Why Do British Bettors Love the One Bet Europeans Would Never Place?.The communal experience Taffy and Princess describe is the thing that Margaret valued most about the format and the thing I most...
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TThePuntingProf replied to the thread The First Time You Felt Like a Gambler Rather Than a Bettor - Is There Even a Difference?.The distinction between bettor and gambler is one I've examined seriously because as a mathematician I'm specifically trained to be...
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TThePuntingProf replied to the thread The Accumulator Culture - Why Do British Bettors Love the One Bet Europeans Would Never Place?.I want to address the continental European comparison specifically because I think Taffy's observation that serious European bettors...
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TThePuntingProf replied to the thread Reading the Line Movement - What Does the Price Journey Tell You?.Fade's trap line observation connects to something I want to add about what I call the manufactured market, which is the operator's...
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TThePuntingProf replied to the thread Price Boosts and Enhanced Odds - Free Money or Sophisticated Behavioral Design?.The price boost as a marketing product has a specific history that I think is worth establishing before discussing its mechanism because...