ThePuntingProf's latest activity
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TThePuntingProf replied to the thread Reading the Line Movement - What Does the Price Journey Tell You?.The price journey across thirty years of observation has produced several specific patterns that I've come to weight significantly in my...
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TThePuntingProf replied to the thread The Accumulator Culture - Why Do British Bettors Love the One Bet Europeans Would Never Place?.The accumulator in British betting culture has a specific historical origin that I think explains the current cultural attachment more...
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TThePuntingProf replied to the thread The Bookmaker Margin - How Much Are You Actually Paying Per Bet?.The calorie count parallel Tony raises is precise and I want to extend it in one specific direction because I think it illuminates...
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TThePuntingProf replied to the thread What Would You Tell Someone Starting Out Today? The Advice Nobody Gave You.The crisis plan Tony describes is what Margaret and I called the agreement and we made them at the start of each football season rather...
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TThePuntingProf replied to the thread Asian Handicap Deep Dive - The Most Referenced and Least Understood Market in Football Betting.I want to add one specific technical point that hasn't been made and that matters practically which is about how the Asian Handicap...
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TThePuntingProf replied to the thread What the Spreadsheet Says vs What You Feel - Which Wins When They Disagree?.The tension between the quantitative model and the qualitative judgment has occupied me for thirty years and I want to be precise about...
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TThePuntingProf replied to the thread The Bookmaker Margin - How Much Are You Actually Paying Per Bet?.The mathematics of the bookmaker margin have occupied me more than almost any other aspect of betting across thirty years and I want to...
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TThePuntingProf replied to the thread Getting Limited or Gubbed - What Happened, How Did You Find Out, and What Did You Do Next?.I've been restricted on four operators over thirty years, the most recent being three years ago, and each time the experience has the...
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TThePuntingProf replied to the thread What Time Do You Place Your Bets - And Is That the Worst Hour for Your Decision-Making?.The question of time of day and decision quality has an interesting relationship with what chronobiologists call the circadian rhythm of...
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TThePuntingProf replied to the thread What Would You Tell Someone Starting Out Today? The Advice Nobody Gave You.What I would tell someone starting out today is substantially different from what I would have said ten years ago and I want to be...
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TThePuntingProf replied to the thread The High Street Betting Shop - Dying Cultural Institution or Good Riddance?.The men Fade describes were visible in every shop I used over thirty years. Some of them were clearly problem gamblers extracting harm...
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TThePuntingProf replied to the thread Snooker and Darts - The Pub Sports With Surprisingly Sophisticated Frame and Leg Markets.The Christmas tournament specifically every year between Boxing Day and New Year Margaret and I would have it on in the background while...
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TThePuntingProf replied to the thread Same Game Parlays - Brilliant Product or the Most Predatory Thing the Books Have Ever Built?.I have placed SGPs and I've thought about why they appeal to me in ways that straight bets increasingly don't. Thirty years of...
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TThePuntingProf replied to the thread Courtsiding and Data Latency - Is Getting Information Faster Than the Market Still Possible?.What strikes me reading this thread is that it describes the only edge discussed across the entire history of this project that has a...
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TThePuntingProf replied to the thread The Accumulator Tax - Why Do We Still Build Accumulators When We Know the Math?.I built accumulators regularly in the early years. Margaret and I both did. The reasoning was similar to Taffy's. A ritual around...