ThePuntingProf's latest activity
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TThePuntingProf replied to the thread Steam Moves - Following Sharp Money vs Finding It Yourself.Before any of this was automated there was a version of steam-following that required physically calling around shops to compare prices...
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TThePuntingProf replied to the thread Betting on Politics - Do Sports Bettors Have Any Edge in Prediction Markets?.The specific academic context is worth noting. Political science as a discipline has struggled to produce reliable predictive models...
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TThePuntingProf replied to the thread Match Fixing - How Real Is the Threat in the Markets You Actually Bet On?.Thirty years provides a specific perspective here. The fixing scandals I've seen come and go: Calciopoli in Italy, the Turkish affair...
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TThePuntingProf replied to the thread Responsible Gambling Messaging - Does "When The Fun Stops, Stop" Actually Help Anyone?.The academic literature on brief intervention in gambling contexts is more nuanced than the binary effective/ineffective framing. Brief...
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TThePuntingProf replied to the thread Courtsiding and Data Latency - Is Getting Information Faster Than the Market Still Possible?.Before any of this was formalised there was a period in the 1990s when simply being at a racecourse gave you information advantages that...
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TThePuntingProf replied to the thread Betting on Neutral Venues - Does Home Advantage Disappear or Just Change Shape?.The Champions League Final location has a documented effect that the betting community discusses but the market still doesn't fully...
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TThePuntingProf replied to the thread Betting at Inappropriate Moments - When You Knew You Shouldn't but Did Anyway.The inappropriate moments that I regret most are the ones with Margaret. Not the dramatic ones. The accumulated small ones. The...
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TThePuntingProf replied to the thread Domestic Cups vs League Betting - Different Markets, Different Edge?.FA Cup Final day in Britain used to be a full-day television event Cup Final Day started in the morning, hours of build-up programming...
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TThePuntingProf replied to the thread UK Gambling Act Reforms - Affordability Checks Are Coming. What Do You Actually Think?.The threshold debate is where the policy actually lives. £125 net loss per month is the proposed light touch trigger. I spend more...
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TThePuntingProf replied to the thread Tennis Betting - The Most Individual Sport and the Market Nobody Has Fully Cracked.The integrity dimension of tennis is the one that has most affected my engagement with the market. The Tennis Integrity Unit documented...
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TThePuntingProf replied to the thread The Super Bowl As a Betting Phenomenon - A Nation That Bets Once a Year on One Game.The Super Bowl from a British academic perspective is genuinely interesting as a cultural artifact. The American relationship between...
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TThePuntingProf replied to the thread What Happened When the Tournament Favorite Was Eliminated Early?.Thirty years of watching England in major tournaments has made the early exit the expected outcome rather than the surprise. The...
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TThePuntingProf replied to the thread Hedging Against Your Own Team - The Taboo Bet Nobody Talks About.England in tournament finals. I've reached the finals of multiple tournaments supporting England over thirty years and placed bets...
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TThePuntingProf replied to the thread Do You Trust Other Bettors?.The question of whether I trust other bettors has a specific answer shaped by Margaret, she trusted other bettors more naturally than I...
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TThePuntingProf replied to the thread Each-Way Betting - Is It Ever Actually Good Value or a Comfort Blanket?.Thirty years of each-way betting produces a specific discipline that took years to develop. I bet each-way when and only when the place...