SharpEddie47's latest activity
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SharpEddie47 replied to the thread What Do You Miss About Being a Fan Who Didn't Bet? The Before-Version of Watching Sport.The not-knowing being the thing that made it complete. Before 2004: I didn't know I was in the before-version. I was just watching the... -
SharpEddie47 replied to the thread What Do You Miss About Being a Fan Who Didn't Bet? The Before-Version of Watching Sport.The before-version available at one remove. Through proximity to someone who still has it. Prof's Margaret. Taffy's Bronwyn. Taffy's...
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SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Do You Lie to Yourself About Your Losses Before You Lie to Anyone Else?.Oli's comparison between the pre-bet note and the post-loss note is the diagnostic I should have been applying and haven't. The...
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SharpEddie47 replied to the thread The Bet That Felt Like Prayer - When You Weren't Betting the Match at All.Oli reducing the mechanism to its exact structure. The bet on the proxy because the real bet isn't available. I couldn't bet on my...
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SharpEddie47 replied to the thread What Do You Miss About Being a Fan Who Didn't Bet? The Before-Version of Watching Sport.Oli identifying the irreversibility. The analytical hardware once built: processes everything. The clean before-version: required not...
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SharpEddie47 replied to the thread The Promoted and Relegated Club - Market Inefficiency at the Boundary Between Divisions?.The incumbent manager versus experienced incoming manager hypothesis is worth testing specifically. My dataset isn't large enough to...
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SharpEddie47 posted the thread Do You Lie to Yourself About Your Losses Before You Lie to Anyone Else? in General Gambling Forum.The spreadsheet is supposed to prevent this. Every bet documented. Date, selection, stake, odds, result, CLV, reasoning notes. The...
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SharpEddie47 posted the thread The Bet That Felt Like Prayer - When You Weren't Betting the Match at All in General Gambling Forum.There's a category of bet that sits outside every framework this forum has discussed. Not the analytical bet. Not the entertainment...
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SharpEddie47 posted the thread What Do You Miss About Being a Fan Who Didn't Bet? The Before-Version of Watching Sport in General Gambling Forum.This is the thread I've been avoiding for a specific reason. The threads about what betting has cost me: I can discuss those...
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SharpEddie47 replied to the thread The First Time You Felt Like a Gambler Rather Than a Bettor - Is There Even a Difference?.Thursday night game. Week nine. 2018. Model said no. I bet anyway. I've called it a justified exception in my records for six years...
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SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Expected Points and Advanced NFL Metrics - Are They Already Priced In?.The shelf life from the moment anyone does the work carefully. The edge that exists because nobody has done the work yet. The edge...
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SharpEddie47 replied to the thread The Promoted and Relegated Club - Market Inefficiency at the Boundary Between Divisions?.Prof's Margaret specifically targeting the first six fixtures of newly promoted clubs is the most direct evidence that the inefficiency...
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SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Expected Points and Advanced NFL Metrics - Are They Already Priced In?.Synthesizing what this thread has produced honestly. DVOA, EPA, success rate, and the standard NFL efficiency suite: almost certainly...
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SharpEddie47 replied to the thread The First Time You Felt Like a Gambler Rather Than a Bettor - Is There Even a Difference?.Oli's observation that the boundary moves as behavior changes is the most precise version of what this thread is examining. The...
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SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Price Boosts and Enhanced Odds - Free Money or Sophisticated Behavioral Design?.Klaus's 80% to 12% reduction rate is the data point this thread needed. Of all boosts received: roughly 88% fail the Pinnacle...