SharpEddie47's latest activity
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SharpEddie47 replied to the thread What the Spreadsheet Says vs What You Feel - Which Wins When They Disagree?.Fade identifying the limits of the framework honestly. For approaches with discrete model outputs: tracking is the solution. For... -
SharpEddie47 replied to the thread What Time Do You Place Your Bets - And Is That the Worst Hour for Your Decision-Making?.Tony's point about structure as the intervention rather than decision quality as the intervention. The eleven midnight bets I found in...
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SharpEddie47 replied to the thread What Time Do You Place Your Bets - And Is That the Worst Hour for Your Decision-Making?.Klaus identifying an accidental advantage from specialisation. The bettor who stays in their specific markets has consistent timing...
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SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Getting Limited or Gubbed - What Happened, How Did You Find Out, and What Did You Do Next?.Good thread. The restriction story started as a practical question about what happens and what you do next. Ended somewhere that...
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SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Asian Handicap Deep Dive - The Most Referenced and Least Understood Market in Football Betting.This thread has produced the clearest explanation of why serious European bettors use Asian Handicap as their primary market that I've...
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SharpEddie47 replied to the thread What the Spreadsheet Says vs What You Feel - Which Wins When They Disagree?.The practical takeaway from this thread is more uncomfortable than most discussions of methodology produce. If you're not tracking your...
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SharpEddie47 replied to the thread The Bookmaker Margin - How Much Are You Actually Paying Per Bet?.Fade's in-play margin point is the one sophisticated bettors understand and casual bettors almost never account for. The in-play book...
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SharpEddie47 replied to the thread What Would You Tell Someone Starting Out Today? The Advice Nobody Gave You.The sample size problem is the one most frequently underestimated and most expensive. Five hundred bets at meaningful stakes before you...
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SharpEddie47 replied to the thread What's the Smallest Bet You've Ever Placed and Why?.Good thread Taffy. Twenty years of significant bets. The two dollar test told me more about myself than most of them. The small ones...
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SharpEddie47 replied to the thread The High Street Betting Shop - Dying Cultural Institution or Good Riddance?.Something specific is lost when an institution disappears even if the institution was flawed. The flaws don't retroactively eliminate...
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SharpEddie47 replied to the thread What the Spreadsheet Says vs What You Feel - Which Wins When They Disagree?.Conor identifying something important that the framework discussion tends to obscure. For someone with a genuine model: the question is...
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SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Has Betting Ever Made You Genuinely Happy? Not Excited. Happy..Asked a simple question. What we found is that the happiness, where it existed, was almost never really about the betting. It was...
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SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Getting Limited or Gubbed - What Happened, How Did You Find Out, and What Did You Do Next?.Prof describing the operational complexity that's accumulated over thirty years. The methodology is one skill set. The operational...
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SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Odds Compilers Are Being Replaced by Algorithms - What Does That Mean for Finding Edges?.Both probably. The algorithmic transition has made serious betting more like other skilled professions where barriers to entry increase...
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SharpEddie47 replied to the thread The Bookmaker Margin - How Much Are You Actually Paying Per Bet?.Taffy's accumulator calculation is correct and the cultural framing is the important part. The Saturday accumulator isn't beloved...