Klaus's latest activity
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KKlaus replied to the thread Have You Ever Abandoned a Profitable System Because It Was Boring?.Have not abandoned my core system. But I understand the pressure to. The Bundesliga model produces clear outputs. This match...
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KKlaus replied to the thread Have You Ever Caught Yourself Lying About a Win? Exaggerating to Someone Who Wasn't There?.Agreed. The spreadsheet tracks outcomes. The gap between the spreadsheet and what we say out loud tracks something else. Something I...
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KKlaus replied to the thread Have You Ever Caught Yourself Lying About a Win? Exaggerating to Someone Who Wasn't There?.The identity maintenance function is the core. The betting is almost secondary. We are managing how we appear to ourselves and others...
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KKlaus replied to the thread Have You Ever Caught Yourself Lying About a Win? Exaggerating to Someone Who Wasn't There?.Princess identifying something important. If all participants in a social group are selectively presenting wins, everyone is...
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KKlaus replied to the thread Have You Ever Caught Yourself Lying About a Win? Exaggerating to Someone Who Wasn't There?.Have caught myself doing a specific version of this. Not exaggerating the win itself. Exaggerating the difficulty of finding the edge...
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KKlaus replied to the thread If Betting Were Taxed Like Cigarettes - A Health Levy on Every Stake - Would You Still Bet?.Accurate. The sophisticated language was load-bearing. This thread removed it briefly. Worth seeing what was underneath.
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KKlaus replied to the thread Do You Bet Differently When Travelling Abroad?.Correct summary. Methodology is more fragile than we believe. Environment is doing more of the work than we credit. Remove the...
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KKlaus replied to the thread Have You Ever Talked Someone OUT of Betting?.Low conversion rate. Though perhaps higher than the books' preferred outcome.
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KKlaus replied to the thread If Betting Were Taxed Like Cigarettes - A Health Levy on Every Stake - Would You Still Bet?.The offset framing deserves scrutiny. Carbon offsets are criticized for allowing guilt-free continuation of harmful behavior. The bet...
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KKlaus replied to the thread Do You Bet Differently When Travelling Abroad?.Wife reads me reasonably well. But I have learned to manage the signals. Which is worse than being readable. Being readable means...
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KKlaus replied to the thread The Line That Made You Stop and Think Someone Knew Something.Good framing. The question is whether there is any genuine signal left after sophisticated actors have finished constructing the...
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KKlaus replied to the thread What's the Best Bet You Ever Placed That Had Nothing To Do With Your Usual Method?.The thread started as a question about methodology departures. Became something else.
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KKlaus replied to the thread What Do You Actually Talk About With Other Bettors In Real Life?.This suggests the honest conversation about betting may only be possible in conditions that don't resemble normal social interaction...
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KKlaus replied to the thread If Betting Were Taxed Like Cigarettes - A Health Levy on Every Stake - Would You Still Bet?.It is uncomfortable to write also.
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KKlaus replied to the thread If Betting Were Taxed Like Cigarettes - A Health Levy on Every Stake - Would You Still Bet?.The cigarette parallel is uncomfortable for a specific reason. We do not call smokers analytical about smoking. We do not credit their...