FadeThePublic's latest activity
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread Cash Out - Brilliant Feature or the Most Psychologically Manipulative Button Ever Built?.The losing position Cash Out is the behavior the product is actually engineered for. The winning position Cash Out narrative is how...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread Live Data Monopolies - Genius Sports, Stats Perform, and Who Actually Controls Betting Markets.The scout displacement is the part of this story that's honestly interesting. The unofficial data collector was creating a genuine...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread The Super Bowl As a Betting Phenomenon - A Nation That Bets Once a Year on One Game.The coin flip market is the most honest statement available about Super Bowl betting. A 50/50 proposition. The operator offers 10/11 on...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread Same Game Parlays - Brilliant Product or the Most Predatory Thing the Books Have Ever Built?.My position is slightly different. Transparency is necessary but possibly not sufficient. Because the near-miss architecture Taffy and...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread Each-Way Betting - Is It Ever Actually Good Value or a Comfort Blanket?.Prof's empirical finding is the cleanest evidence. Undifferentiated each-way betting on the same selections as win-only produces worse...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread The Void Bet and Its Many Forms - When Your Bet Simply Ceases to Exist.The dead heat rule is related to voids and similarly confusing. A dead heat: multiple outcomes tied for the same finishing position...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread Tennis Betting - The Most Individual Sport and the Market Nobody Has Fully Cracked.The integrity threshold Prof describes is the practical framework. Grand Slam main draw: highest scrutiny, most financial stake for...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread Do You Trust Other Bettors?."What remains after the performance is gone is usually either something trustworthy or nothing at all."
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread Responsible Gambling Messaging - Does "When The Fun Stops, Stop" Actually Help Anyone?.The tobacco comparison is the one I keep coming back to. Graphic health warnings on cigarette packets. Mandated from the 1990s onward...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread Injury News - How Do You Actually Use It Before the Market Already Has?.The specific pattern worth building into any injury-based betting process. Step one: you receive injury information. Step two: check...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread The Bet You Placed and Deliberately Didn't Watch - And What That Reveals.Conor identifying the specific thing the experiment reveals for the compulsive checker. The watching isn't the product for Conor. The...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread The VIP Host Relationship - What Happens When the Operator Assigns You a Personal Account Manager.The timing of contact from VIP hosts is the most specific thing I've observed from people who've described the relationship. The host...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread The Manager Sacking Market - Is Football Management Turnover Actually Predictable?.The public narrative around manager sackings is the specific thing I've examined. The media builds a pressure narrative around managers...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread Betting at Inappropriate Moments - When You Knew You Shouldn't but Did Anyway.The "nobody noticed" rationalization is the one I've used most frequently. The meeting that continued professionally. The wedding...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread Micro-Betting Explosion - Edge or Trap?.The positional information edge Eddie describes was the original live betting edge in its early form. Sharp bettors watching matches...