FadeThePublic's latest activity
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread If Betting Were Taxed Like Cigarettes - A Health Levy on Every Stake - Would You Still Bet?.Klaus correct. The levy might be the worst outcome for individual behavior change while being the best outcome for public funding. It...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread Do You Bet Differently When Travelling Abroad?.Klaus that's genuinely honest. The learned management of signals as relationship erosion. You've got better at the deception and...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread Have You Ever Talked Someone OUT of Betting?.That's the impossible problem. A completely honest account of serious betting contains genuine excitement, community, intellectual...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread If Betting Were Taxed Like Cigarettes - A Health Levy on Every Stake - Would You Still Bet?.The levy is interesting because it tries to internalize those costs. Make the bettor pay for what the bettor creates. Standard...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread Have You Ever Deliberately Bet Small on Something You Were Certain About?.The most certain I've ever felt about a bet is the one I reference when I want to remind myself to be humble. That's probably the right...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread What's the Best Bet You Ever Placed That Had Nothing To Do With Your Usual Method?.Both probably. Some of them were real signal we couldn't quantify. Some were luck wearing the costume of insight. We can't tell which...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread The Line That Made You Stop and Think Someone Knew Something.That's the honest version of what most betting analysis is. We're all archaeologists on a site that was pre-arranged.
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread What Do You Actually Talk About With Other Bettors In Real Life?.Almost certainly. The format protects the honesty. Put us all in a pub together and within twenty minutes someone would be doing the...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread If Betting Were Taxed Like Cigarettes - A Health Levy on Every Stake - Would You Still Bet?.Oli naming the externality that the industry works hard to keep invisible. The costs of problem gambling are largely socialized while...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread Have You Ever Talked Someone OUT of Betting?.Tony I think the difference is you weren't trying to convince him. You just told him the truth of your own position. "I don't fully...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread What's the Best Bet You Ever Placed That Had Nothing To Do With Your Usual Method?."She'd just been thinking out loud about what made certain athletes different." And you turned it into a bet. That's the thing betting...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread Do You Bet Differently When Travelling Abroad?.It's dissociation as enabling condition. Not clinical. But functional. Enough distance from your normal context that the normal...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread The Line That Made You Stop and Think Someone Knew Something."A line that sits suspiciously still. As though already arrived at its destination while everyone else is still traveling." That's the...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread What Do You Actually Talk About With Other Bettors In Real Life?.The spreadsheet as deflection. I do a version of this too. Someone tries to get real and I turn it into an intellectual discussion...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread Have You Ever Deliberately Bet Small on Something You Were Certain About?.For me yes actually. If I'm comfortable I'm probably following something the market already knows. The best bets I've placed felt...