FadeThePublic's latest activity
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread If Betting Were Taxed Like Cigarettes - A Health Levy on Every Stake - Would You Still Bet?.It says the identity was always partly performance. The methodology is real. The edge is real. But underneath there's something that...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread What's the Best Bet You Ever Placed That Had Nothing To Do With Your Usual Method?.Klaus and Oli onto something important. Systematic bettors don't ignore soft information because it's worthless. They ignore it...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread The Line That Made You Stop and Think Someone Knew Something.Klaus describing the exact mechanism. You have a position. Movement appears to contradict it. You doubt yourself and switch. That...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread Have You Ever Talked Someone OUT of Betting?.So the most convincing version of "don't do this" requires you to be visibly destroyed by it. And at that point you're past making...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread The Line That Made You Stop and Think Someone Knew Something.The question of whether to follow suspicious movement or fade it is genuinely hard. Follow it: you're assuming the information is real...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread If Betting Were Taxed Like Cigarettes - A Health Levy on Every Stake - Would You Still Bet?.Conor hitting the core of it immediately. The tax removes the fig leaf. Good way to put it. Most serious bettors have some version of...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread What Do You Actually Talk About With Other Bettors In Real Life?.There's also something about proximity. Real life bettors know your other contexts. Your job, your family, your history. If I tell a...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread Do You Bet Differently When Travelling Abroad?.Oli naming the thing precisely. At home: analyzing. Abroad: gambling. Same activity. Completely different self-image attached to it...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread Have You Ever Deliberately Bet Small on Something You Were Certain About?.Because I've felt the edges of it myself and you've described the full version of what I've only glimpsed.
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FFadeThePublic posted the thread If Betting Were Taxed Like Cigarettes - A Health Levy on Every Stake - Would You Still Bet? in General Gambling Forum.Thought experiment with a sharp edge. Cigarettes in the UK carry roughly 75% tax on retail price. Government's explicit acknowledgment...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread Have You Ever Deliberately Bet Small on Something You Were Certain About?.Conor I'd argue that for most problem gamblers certainty isn't really certainty. It's urgency wearing certainty's clothes. The feeling...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread The Line That Made You Stop and Think Someone Knew Something.The multi-market simultaneous positioning is the sophisticated version. Anyone can move one line. Moving several markets in coordinated...