CoachTony_Bets's latest activity
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CoachTony_Bets replied to the thread Why Most Betting Systems Eventually Fail.I think everyone here is making valid points but talking past each other a bit. There's a difference between: Mechanical systems... -
CoachTony_Bets replied to the thread Why the Public Always Overbets Favorites.I think we need to separate a few different concepts here that are getting mixed together. Concept 1: Do favorites win more often than...
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CoachTony_Bets replied to the thread Why "Good Picks" Can Be Bad Bets.I want to address something @DublinDegen said earlier because even though he was joking, he touched on something real: the...
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CoachTony_Bets replied to the thread Why "Good Picks" Can Be Bad Bets.Princess you're asking the right question. The answer is you don't know the exact probability - nobody does. What you're looking for is...
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CoachTony_Bets replied to the thread Why Bookmakers Don't Care If You Win a Bet.Fade and Eddie are both right, but they're describing different types of bookmakers. The reality is that most bettors interact with...
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CoachTony_Bets replied to the thread Micro-Markets in Betting: Turning Every Minute into a Chance.I think there's a middle ground here that the article hints at but doesn't fully develop. Micro markets can be useful if you're watching...
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CoachTony_Bets reacted to LissArcen's post in the thread Guide Beginner-Friendly Betting Strategies That Actually Work with
Like.
I started tracking my bets in a spreadsheet, and that alone helped me stop chasing losses and make better picks. Also, I try sticking to... -
CoachTony_Bets replied to the thread Why Winning Bets Still Lose Money Long-Term.I'm going to add a coaching perspective here that might help this click for people. In basketball, we track shooting percentage but...
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CoachTony_Bets replied to the thread Why Don't More Books Offer Proper Asian Handicaps?.I think there's a middle ground here that's worth mentioning. Eddie and Prof are absolutely right about the pricing efficiency and...
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CoachTony_Bets reacted to FadeThePublic's post in the thread Why Don't More Books Offer Proper Asian Handicaps? with Like.
Princess the concept is actually simpler than it looks once you get past the decimal numbers. Asian handicap -0.5 just means the team...
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CoachTony_Bets reacted to SharpEddie47's post in the thread Why Don't More Books Offer Proper Asian Handicaps? with Like.
This is actually one of the more interesting structural questions in sports betting and the answer reveals a lot about how books...
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CoachTony_Bets reacted to ThePuntingProf's post in the thread Why Don't More Books Offer Proper Asian Handicaps? with Like.
Eddie is absolutely correct about the margin structure and I would add that the historical context here is quite important because Asian...
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CoachTony_Bets replied to the thread Guide How Do Tennis Handicaps Work? Games vs Sets Explained.This is a really solid breakdown of handicaps. I think the key takeaway for anyone new to tennis betting is that game handicaps and set...
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CoachTony_Bets replied to the thread Is gambling bad for your brain?.@DublinDegen 's scrambled eggs comment might be the most accurate self-assessment I've seen on this forum. But seriously - I tell my...
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CoachTony_Bets reacted to DublinDegen's post in the thread Is gambling bad for your brain? with
Haha.
lads if gambling is bad for your brain then mine is basically scrambled eggs at this point 😂 pretty sure my IQ drops 10 points every...