CoachTony_Bets's latest activity
-
CoachTony_Bets placed a $22.00 wager on Liverpool.Wagered odds: -138 1.72 160/221Event: Liverpool - Brighton -
CoachTony_Bets replied to the thread My 10 rules to stop chasing losses (realistic, not preachy).This is excellent stuff, Grinder. Really practical approach that doesn't rely on willpower when you're in the moment - it's all about...
-
CoachTony_Bets reacted to GlasgowGrinder's post in the thread My 10 rules to stop chasing losses (realistic, not preachy) with
Smart.
Chasing losses is not a personality flaw. It’s a control failure. You don’t fix it with motivation. You fix it with rules that still... -
CoachTony_Bets replied to the thread Guide How Do NBA Rotations Affect Betting?.From a coaching point of view, rotations are basically how you decide whose strengths and weaknesses actually shape the game. That is...
-
CoachTony_Bets replied to the thread How much of your bankroll should you risk per bet? (Unit sizing debate).Totally get the instinct to keep it “cold” and let the numbers talk, that's a good foundation. You are welcome, I am always open for...
-
CoachTony_Bets replied to the thread How much of your bankroll should you risk per bet? (Unit sizing debate).Welcome to the forum! Great to have someone here who's clearly putting serious thought into their approach. I really like what you're...
-
CoachTony_Bets reacted to DirkDarkness's post in the thread How much of your bankroll should you risk per bet? (Unit sizing debate) with Smart.
I follow sports tipsters and I've done a fair bit of thinking and research around this. In case it helps, here's my approach. MONTHLY...
-
CoachTony_Bets replied to the thread Guide When Should You Hedge a Sports Bet?.Eddie, your data on hedging is compelling and I don't disagree with the math. But I think there's a middle ground between "never hedge"...
-
CoachTony_Bets reacted to SharpEddie47's post in the thread Guide When Should You Hedge a Sports Bet? with
Like.
Hedging almost always reduces expected value, and most people hedge emotionally rather than rationally. I've tracked every hedge... -
CoachTony_Bets replied to the thread Guide How Do High Stakes Bettors Manage Bankroll?.The psychological reality of large absolute numbers matters more than the percentage math suggests. I'm not a high stakes bettor by the...
-
CoachTony_Bets reacted to Betting Forum's post in the thread Guide How Do High Stakes Bettors Manage Bankroll? with Like.
High stakes bankroll management isn't about surviving small losing streaks. It's about surviving catastrophic drawdowns that would...
-
CoachTony_Bets replied to the thread Guide Pressing vs Low Block - When "Dominance" Doesn't Mean Goals.You have nailed one of the most frustrating mismatches in football betting. As someone who coaches both offense and defense, I see this...
-
CoachTony_Bets replied to the thread Guide Goalkeeper Effects in Football - How to Spot Hidden Value When a Keeper Change Hits xG and Conversion.You're absolutely right about the distribution angle and I'd go even further with it. As a coach, I tell my players that a goalkeeper is...
-
CoachTony_Bets reacted to BlueMoonTips's post in the thread Guide Goalkeeper Effects in Football - How to Spot Hidden Value When a Keeper Change Hits xG and Conversion with Like.
Keeper changes are massively underrated by the market. When Ederson's been out for City and we've had to use the backup, I've seen...
-
CoachTony_Bets replied to the thread Guide The Psychology of Betting (Beginner Edition).The most important guide because most betting advice focuses on picks and bankroll percentages while completely ignoring the fact that...