CoachTony_Bets's latest activity
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CoachTony_Bets replied to the thread Boredom as a Betting Trigger - The Bet Placed Because There Was Nothing Else to Do.The coaching dead period produces a version of this. The offseason weeks when I'm not preparing for games and the analytical mode isn't... -
CoachTony_Bets replied to the thread Virtual Sports Betting - Algorithmic Outcomes and the Market That Exists to Take Money Fast.The product design angle is worth examining. The betting shop generates revenue from real sports betting and from virtual sports. Real...
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CoachTony_Bets replied to the thread Online Betting Communities - Discord Servers, Reddit Threads, and the Culture of Anonymous Cappers.The follower responsibility question is the one from coaching that maps directly. The capper who has people tailing their picks has...
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CoachTony_Bets replied to the thread Draw Markets - Why Is the Draw the Consistently Worst-Priced Outcome in Football?.The coaching context for understanding draw likelihood is specific. Game states that produce draws aren't random. There are...
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CoachTony_Bets replied to the thread Hedging Against Your Own Team - The Taboo Bet Nobody Talks About.The coaching version of this is specific and exists in a form I haven't encountered in betting discussions. A coach whose team is in a...
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CoachTony_Bets replied to the thread Betting App Design - Dark Patterns, Bet Builders, and the UX of Encouragement.Environmental design is the coaching concept that applies directly here. The research on how physical environment affects athletic...
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CoachTony_Bets replied to the thread Has Betting Ever Made You Genuinely Happy? Not Excited. Happy..Princess that's a cleaner synthesis than I've managed in twelve years. When it's around something else: possible happiness. When it...
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CoachTony_Bets replied to the thread Cash Out - Brilliant Feature or the Most Psychologically Manipulative Button Ever Built?.Conor's version is the one nobody talks about. The Cash Out narrative is always about winning positions. Three legs in, do you take the...
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CoachTony_Bets replied to the thread Cycling and Athletics Betting - The Sports Where Doping Is the Variable Nobody Prices.The track and field equivalent is specific because of the individual nature of the sport. A 100-meter sprint. The betting market prices...
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CoachTony_Bets replied to the thread Goalscorer Markets - The Most Fun Bet in Football and Is There Actually Edge?.The tactical knowledge angle is where I think I have genuine edge that's hard to model. Which player in a specific system gets into the...
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CoachTony_Bets replied to the thread Betting Podcasts and Influencers - Who's Actually Benefiting and From What?.The normalization function is the one that's hardest to quantify but probably most significant. The podcast doesn't tell you to bet...
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CoachTony_Bets replied to the thread The Shrinkflation of Betting Edges - Is Genuine Value Disappearing From Football Markets?.American perspective on the other side of this. NFL markets are brutally efficient now. Have been for years. The sophisticated money...
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CoachTony_Bets replied to the thread Brazil Just Opened One of the Biggest Betting Markets in the World. What Happens Next?.Conor's point is the one that should be in the headline. The financial story is about market efficiency. The actual story is probably...
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CoachTony_Bets replied to the thread Closing Line Value - Is It Actually the Right Benchmark for Measuring Edge?.There's a coaching parallel here. Win-loss record as a measure of coaching quality. Simple. Observable. Produces a number. Also...
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CoachTony_Bets replied to the thread Horse Racing - Are You Betting the Sport or Just Using It As an Excuse to Be in a Betting Shop?.The coaching knowledge that helps in football doesn't translate to racing for a specific reason. In football: the tactical system is...