CoachTony_Bets's latest activity
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CoachTony_Bets replied to the thread Correct Score Markets - The Highest Variance Football Bet and Is There Any Edge?.The coaching knowledge that applies to correct score is the game script prediction. Matches that will follow specific scripts produce... -
CoachTony_Bets replied to the thread Women's Football Markets - Best Remaining Edge or Underdeveloped For Good Reason?.The coaching knowledge transfer to women's football is specific. The game is played differently from the men's game in ways that are...
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CoachTony_Bets replied to the thread Cricket Betting - The Most Most Complex Sports Betting Market in the World?.The coaching information angle that applies to football and NFL doesn't apply to cricket in the same way. My edge in other sports comes...
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CoachTony_Bets replied to the thread The Derby Match - Does It Bet Completely Differently From a Regular Fixture?.The coaching preparation difference is real and significant. A regular league fixture: preparation follows a standard weekly pattern...
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CoachTony_Bets replied to the thread xG and Expected Goals - Is It Already Priced Into Markets or Is There Still Edge?.The coaching adoption of xG is relevant here. Most professional clubs now use xG internally for player recruitment, game planning, and...
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CoachTony_Bets replied to the thread The Accumulator Tax - Why Do We Still Build Accumulators When We Know the Math?.I build accas occasionally. Not as primary strategy. For specific situations: when I have moderate conviction on multiple outcomes from...
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CoachTony_Bets replied to the thread The Super Bowl As a Betting Phenomenon - A Nation That Bets Once a Year on One Game.The two-week preparation period is the specific Super Bowl feature that changes the analytical environment. Normal NFL week: five to...
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CoachTony_Bets replied to the thread Live Data Monopolies - Genius Sports, Stats Perform, and Who Actually Controls Betting Markets.The coaching data world overlaps with this partially. Next Gen Stats, which provides advanced NFL data, was acquired by the NFL itself...
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CoachTony_Bets replied to the thread Do You Consider Yourself Lucky or Unlucky As a Bettor?.The coaching parallel on luck is specific. Coaches who blame luck consistently: they're protecting themselves from the examination of...
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CoachTony_Bets replied to the thread Match Fixing - How Real Is the Threat in the Markets You Actually Bet On?.Conor describing the economic logic of player approach is the key to understanding where the threat concentrates. The fixing syndicate...
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CoachTony_Bets replied to the thread The Bet You Placed and Deliberately Didn't Watch - And What That Reveals.The coaching situation forced me into an accidental non-watching experiment. A game I had a significant bet on happened to coincide...
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CoachTony_Bets replied to the thread What Happened When the Tournament Favorite Was Eliminated Early?.The replacement impulse Conor describes is the specific coaching equivalent of panic moves. The coach whose game plan is destroyed by...
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CoachTony_Bets replied to the thread Responsible Gambling Messaging - Does "When The Fun Stops, Stop" Actually Help Anyone?.Princess's question is the right one and I don't think there is. The research on addiction intervention shows that brief environmental...
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CoachTony_Bets replied to the thread Bonus Abuse and Matched Betting - Gateway to Real Betting or Legitimate Strategy?.The gateway question from a coaching angle. We have a concept in sports development: transfer of training. Skills developed in one...
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CoachTony_Bets replied to the thread Home Advantage - Is It Still Real or Has Modern Football Quietly Killed It?.The travel and preparation factor has also changed significantly. A generation ago: away teams traveled by coach or train. Arrived the...