Latest activity
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Dasking this because the answer for me is yes and i've never seen anyone else admit it... not the bet placed in a bad emotional state...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread Betting on Neutral Venues - Does Home Advantage Disappear or Just Change Shape?.The public money at neutral venues behaves differently from regular matches. Cup finals and major neutral venue games: enormous casual...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread What Happened When the Tournament Favorite Was Eliminated Early?.The elimination of a public favorite creates the most specific fade opportunity in outright markets. When Germany went out in 2018: the...
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SharpEddie47 replied to the thread The Shrinkflation of Betting Edges - Is Genuine Value Disappearing From Football Markets?.Taffy observing the correction speed is the practical measure of efficiency. The academic definition of an efficient market is one... -
Ooli_sussex replied to the thread Steam Moves - Following Sharp Money vs Finding It Yourself.The exchange's relationship to steam is specific and worth establishing first. The exchange price often is the reference point, not...
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SharpEddie47 replied to the thread The Relegation Decider - Last Day of Season Betting When Everyone Knows the Stakes.The simultaneous kickoffs on the final day exist specifically because of one notorious historical precedent. The 1982 World Cup. West...
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SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Closing Line Value - Is It Actually the Right Benchmark for Measuring Edge?.Taffy identifying the core ambiguity. Your bet moved with the eventual consensus. Did you anticipate the consensus or just happen to...
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uu88500com2 updated their status.GG88 -
DDublinDegen replied to the thread The Office Sweepstake - Communal Low-Stakes Betting and Its Completely Different Rules.the grand national sweepstake is a specific cultural institution in ireland... every workplace... every pub... everyone in... the...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread Each-Way Betting - Is It Ever Actually Good Value or a Comfort Blanket?.The each-way market has a specific public behavior pattern. The public likes to get something back. The loss of a close second or...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread What Would You Bet On If Money Was Completely Irrelevant?.The risk versus prediction split matters. If you'd bet without money: the prediction is the point. The analysis has independent value...
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KKlaus replied to the thread Brazil Just Opened One of the Biggest Betting Markets in the World. What Happens Next?.Not directly relevant to my approach. The Bundesliga model is specific. Brazilian football has none of the data infrastructure I...
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SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Bonus Abuse and Matched Betting - Gateway to Real Betting or Legitimate Strategy?.Matched betting isn't betting. Not a moral statement. A definitional one. Betting requires taking a view on a probability. Expressing...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread UK Gambling Act Reforms - Affordability Checks Are Coming. What Do You Actually Think?.The friction argument is the strongest pro-reform argument there is. Because it doesn't require the checks to work perfectly. Just...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread Squad Rotation and Betting - How Do You Handle the Manager Who Never Tells You Anything?.The public money response to rotation news is specific and sometimes overreactive. A key player ruled out or rested: public money...