TechnicalGambler
Market Sharp
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- Sep 23, 2010
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Yen-Hsun Lu v Andrey Golubev
•Tournament: Malaysian Open
•Round: 1st round
•Surface: I. Hard
Yen-Hsun Lu Andrey Golubev
Rank: 43 Rank: 39
2010 W-L Record:12-15 2010 W-L Record:18-15
Career W-L Record: 58-95 Career W-L Record: 32-39
•Head to Head (1-0)
Tournament Date Surface Result
Asian Hopman Cup - Astana 17/11/2008 I. Hard 6-2 6-4
Both players don't play since the Us Open first round.
Yen-Hsun Lu american hardcourt season was slightly better than Golubev's. His record was 4-4 against Golubev's 3-4. Before the hardcourt season Golubev had a remarkable tournament at Hamburg on clay winning the final over Melzer and Lu played well at Wimbledon reaching the quarter finals defeating Roddick in the process.
The current odds don't show, in my opinion, the real value of the players. I think giving Golubev such a favoritism (odd around 1.70) is being to good to him. This match will be close and balanced and in my opinion Lu (odd around 2.30) will take it. His game characteristics on this special surface had everything to succeed against Andrey.
Again, this odds are just perfect to apply our after the break system.*
Since both players don't play for a significant amount of time, trying to analyze a possible trading situation for the second set or even to be sure about who will win the first is a difficult task. But if they play a close first set I will tend to lay the first set winner on the second (use the same entry and exit points contained on backing the favourite on the second set strategy*). In this situation laying is safer than backing because if Golubev wins the first his odd will be lower than 1.45 and if Lu managed to win his is odd will be lower than 1.8, on the other hand the other player odd in both cases will be higher than 3 and if we back and fail to green up we will loose the entire stack.
Don't trade on a possible third set.
•Tournament: Malaysian Open
•Round: 1st round
•Surface: I. Hard
Yen-Hsun Lu Andrey Golubev
Rank: 43 Rank: 39
2010 W-L Record:12-15 2010 W-L Record:18-15
Career W-L Record: 58-95 Career W-L Record: 32-39
•Head to Head (1-0)
Tournament Date Surface Result
Asian Hopman Cup - Astana 17/11/2008 I. Hard 6-2 6-4
Both players don't play since the Us Open first round.
Yen-Hsun Lu american hardcourt season was slightly better than Golubev's. His record was 4-4 against Golubev's 3-4. Before the hardcourt season Golubev had a remarkable tournament at Hamburg on clay winning the final over Melzer and Lu played well at Wimbledon reaching the quarter finals defeating Roddick in the process.
The current odds don't show, in my opinion, the real value of the players. I think giving Golubev such a favoritism (odd around 1.70) is being to good to him. This match will be close and balanced and in my opinion Lu (odd around 2.30) will take it. His game characteristics on this special surface had everything to succeed against Andrey.
Again, this odds are just perfect to apply our after the break system.*
Since both players don't play for a significant amount of time, trying to analyze a possible trading situation for the second set or even to be sure about who will win the first is a difficult task. But if they play a close first set I will tend to lay the first set winner on the second (use the same entry and exit points contained on backing the favourite on the second set strategy*). In this situation laying is safer than backing because if Golubev wins the first his odd will be lower than 1.45 and if Lu managed to win his is odd will be lower than 1.8, on the other hand the other player odd in both cases will be higher than 3 and if we back and fail to green up we will loose the entire stack.
Don't trade on a possible third set.
