- Joined
- Jul 11, 2008
- Messages
- 1,393
- Reaction score
- 175
- Points
- 63
For: football bettors who want a locked-in routine to reduce mistakes, avoid FOMO, and improve decision quality.
Quick real-world moment (read this before you bet)
You open the odds and everything looks tempting. You start building explanations after you already want the bet.This checklist flips it. You earn the bet by answering a few boring questions first.
30-second self-check
- Am I calm right now, or am I trying to win back mood?
- If this bet loses, will I feel it was a good decision anyway?
- Do I have a clear reason, or just a strong feeling?
A good checklist does not make you smarter. It makes you harder to trick.
One-page checklist (copy this into notes)
- Match: ____________________________ Date/time: ____________
- Market: ____________________________ Line/handicap: ________
- Price I will accept: ________________ Walk-away price: ______
- Stake: ________ (keep it consistent - no mood staking)
A) The match script (60 seconds)
- What is my most likely script? (circle one) Tight - Balanced - Open - Chaos
- First goal effect: if the favorite scores early, does the match OPEN or SLOW?
- Does 1-1 feel natural, or would it surprise me?
- What scoreline do I keep picturing without forcing it? 0-0 / 1-0 / 1-1 / 2-0 / 2-1 / other: ______
B) Team news and roles (60 seconds)
- Any key role missing? (GK / CB pairing / DM / main creator / main runner) Yes/No
- If yes, who replaces them - downgrade, sidegrade, or style shift?
- Does the absence change structure, or just the name on the sheet?
- Is my bet dependent on lineups? If yes, wait for confirmation.
C) Goals logic (60 seconds)
- Where do the best chances come from in this matchup? (wide / central / transitions / set pieces)
- Does either team have one reliable path to score even in a bad game?
- If I am betting goals: am I betting contribution (BTTS) or volume (Over)?
- If this is a tight match: am I respecting the draw with my market choice?
D) Set pieces and discipline (30 seconds)
- Is there a clear aerial or delivery mismatch on corners and free kicks? Yes/No
- Is this likely to be physical and foul-heavy? Yes/No
- Does the referee style matter for this angle? (strict / lenient / unknown)
E) Price and timing (60 seconds)
- Why am I betting now? (information / timing / opener edge / just boredom)
- Has the price moved already? If yes, am I still getting value or chasing?
- If the line moves against me after I bet, will I still accept the decision?
- If I missed my number, I pass. No exceptions.
F) Final decision gate (10 seconds)
- My reason in one sentence: ____________________________________________
- What could kill this bet fast? (red card / penalty / early goal / lineup swing): __________
- If I am unsure: pass or reduce stake. Discipline is a bet too.
After the match (30 seconds)
- Result: W / L / Push
- Was my script right? Yes/No (what actually happened in one line): ____________
- Did I beat the closing price? Better / Worse / Same
- One fix for next time: _________________________________________________
Traps list (read before you click)
- Adding reasons after you already want the bet
- Ignoring the walk-away price because you feel late
- Betting a winner in a draw-shaped match
- Betting goals without a chance source
- Mood staking after a bad beat
FAQ (quick answers)
1) Do I have to fill every line every time?No. The goal is consistency, not paperwork. Focus on script, team news dependency, and walk-away price.
2) What is the single best part of this checklist?
The walk-away price line. It stops most bad bets before they happen.
3) How long should this take before each bet?
Two to three minutes. If you cannot spare that, you are not in the right mindset to bet.
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