sharp betting strategy

Building a model that looks smart is easy in the sense that you can add variables, make a spreadsheet elegant, and create outputs that feel authoritative, yet building a model that actually bets well is harder because real markets punish the smallest forms of overconfidence and the smallest...

At the next level, the main question stops being “can I find a good bet?” and becomes “where should I even be looking in the first place,” because professionals do not scan everything and then hope something jumps out, they choose battlegrounds where their style of information and analysis can...