sample size awareness

At advanced level, performance isn’t just what you achieve — it’s how accurately you describe what you achieve. Many bettors lose their way not because their edge is weak, but because they measure it badly, talk about it badly, and end up believing the wrong story about themselves. Professionals...

One of the hardest truths at professional level is this: you can be a great bettor and still look awful for long stretches. Not because your edge disappeared, but because variance has a bigger voice in the short term than any model or routine. Pros don’t ignore that reality. They build their...