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  1. Betting Forum

    Guide How Professionals Talk About Their Betting Results (And Why Most Advanced Bettors Get It Wrong)

    Performance isn't just what you achieve. It's how accurately you describe what you achieve. I've watched smart bettors lose their way not because their edge disappeared, but because they measured it badly and ended up believing the wrong story about themselves. This article is for intermediate...
  2. Betting Forum

    Guide Model Calibration & Reality Checks

    Building a model that looks smart is easy in the sense that you can add variables, make a spreadsheet elegant, and create outputs that feel authoritative, yet building a model that actually bets well is harder because real markets punish the smallest forms of overconfidence and the smallest...
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