TipsAudit's latest activity
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TTipsAudit replied to the thread Beating the Closing Line Doesn't Always Mean You're Good: Where CLV Misleads.CLV is a real thing, but 41 bets can't settle it either way, for the good number or the bad one. Your -6.2% first. At odds around 2.0...
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TTipsAudit replied to the thread What Do You Look at First When Making a Football Prediction?.I start at the other end: the sharpest price I can find, with the margin taken out, because it already contains most of that list. Then...
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TTipsAudit replied to the thread Calibration Check: When You Say 70%, Does It Happen 70% of the Time?.A reference curve that might help: the market's own calibration in the same range. We log every match winner that the sharp market...
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TTipsAudit replied to the thread Guide Which Betting Markets Are Most Efficient.Football numbers for Jollyjet's question, from prices we log every day (as of 2 November 2026): The bookies' cut really is bigger...
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TTipsAudit replied to the thread Guide Mistakes Beginner Bettors Must Avoid.On the parlay point, it's worth seeing how fast the hold compounds, because it's not obvious from the slip. The median 1X2 margin...
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TTipsAudit replied to the thread Guide The Safest Betting Markets for Beginners.SharpEddie's point about 1.20 "safe" bets is worth putting numbers on. At 1.20 you have to win 83.3% of the time just to break even...
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TTipsAudit replied to the thread Guide How Betting Odds Work (Decimal, Fractional, American).Good point on decimal. One step further changes how you read any price: add up the implied probabilities of all the outcomes and you get...