ThePuntingProf's latest activity
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TThePuntingProf replied to the thread Why the Public Always Overbets Favorites.I must say that Princess has inadvertently provided a perfect case study in the cognitive biases that lead to systematic overvaluation...
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TThePuntingProf replied to the thread Why the Public Always Overbets Favorites.Eddie has explained this correctly from a mathematical perspective though I would add that the phenomenon of public overvaluation of...
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TThePuntingProf reacted to SharpEddie47's post in the thread Why the Public Always Overbets Favorites with
Like.
Princess I'm going to explain this as clearly as I can. The question isn't whether favorites win. They do win. That's why they're... -
TThePuntingProf replied to the thread Why Most Betting Systems Eventually Fail.I must take issue with both of you on this matter because while I agree that most betting systems do indeed fail the reasons are rather...
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TThePuntingProf replied to the thread Why "Good Picks" Can Be Bad Bets.@ParlayPrincess_88 I hope you do not feel discouraged because what you are experiencing is the exact learning curve that every...
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TThePuntingProf replied to the thread Why "Good Picks" Can Be Bad Bets.I must interject here because Princess's confusion is entirely understandable and the issue she is encountering is that most betting...
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TThePuntingProf reacted to SharpEddie47's post in the thread Why Winning Bets Still Lose Money Long-Term with Like.
I see this constantly with newer bettors and it's probably the most misunderstood concept in sports betting: you can win more bets than...
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TThePuntingProf replied to the thread Why Winning Bets Still Lose Money Long-Term.Eddie has articulated this perfectly and I would add that the psychological trap here is even more insidious than most punters realize...
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TThePuntingProf reacted to SharpEddie47's post in the thread Why Don't More Books Offer Proper Asian Handicaps? with
Smart.
This is actually one of the more interesting structural questions in sports betting and the answer reveals a lot about how books... -
TThePuntingProf replied to the thread Why Don't More Books Offer Proper Asian Handicaps?.Eddie is absolutely correct about the margin structure and I would add that the historical context here is quite important because Asian...
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TThePuntingProf replied to the thread Guide What's the Difference Between Betting ATP and WTA Tennis?.One must approach ATP and WTA betting as entirely distinct disciplines rather than variations on the same theme because the underlying...
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TThePuntingProf replied to the thread Guide Mistakes Beginner Bettors Must Avoid.I have read this guide with considerable interest and while the fundamentals are broadly correct I must say that several points require...
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TThePuntingProf replied to the thread Guide Overconfidence After a Hot Streak: The Silent Bankroll Killer.I must say this is one of the better pieces I have encountered on this particular psychological trap and I speak from experience having...
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TThePuntingProf replied to the thread Guide Mental Performance for High-Stakes Betting (How to Stay Sharp Under Pressure).One must appreciate that what this guide is really describing is variance interacting with the human nervous system and causing the...
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TThePuntingProf replied to the thread Guide Live Betting for Serious Bettors (How to Stop Leaking Money In-Play).The most important line in the entire guide is essentially that live betting is not a test of perception, it is a test of...