ThePuntingProf's latest activity
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TThePuntingProf replied to the thread Guide Closing Line Value Isn’t a Flex - It’s Your Job.One must say this is probably the clearest practical explanation of closing line value I have seen pitched at forum level because it...
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TThePuntingProf replied to the thread Guide Thinking in Series, Not Single Bets: How Pros Mentally Frame Results.One must consider that the entire psychological misery of punting comes from treating each individual wager as a verdict on one’s...
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TThePuntingProf reacted to ItalianBoss's post in the thread Hello from Milan (football singles, price first) with
Like.
I am Michele, 38, based in Porta Romana (Milan), work in risk/compliance at a fintech - football singles only (Serie A and Europe)... -
TThePuntingProf replied to the thread Guide How to Handle Intangibles in Betting (Motivation, Travel, Psychology).One must be scrupulously honest when dealing with so-called intangibles, for they are precisely the domain in which the human mind is...
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TThePuntingProf replied to the thread Guide Turning Your Bet History Into a Coaching Tool (Not Just a List of Wins/Losses).One must appreciate that the true value of a detailed betting record lies not in the aggregate figures of profit and loss but in the...
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TThePuntingProf replied to the thread Guide Staying Disciplined in Live Betting: How to Avoid Clicking Yourself Broke.One must observe that live betting presents a particularly insidious challenge to discipline because it shrinks the decision window to...
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TThePuntingProf replied to the thread Guide When to Move Up (or Down) in Stakes - A Practical Progression Guide.One must approach the question of staking size with mathematical sobriety rather than emotional aspiration because the Kelly criterion...
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TThePuntingProf replied to the thread Guide Boredom Betting and FOMO: Why “Action” Is More Dangerous Than Losing.One must acknowledge that fear of missing out is simply another manifestation of the cognitive biases that plague punters namely the...
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TThePuntingProf replied to the thread Guide From Random Stakes to System: Building a Personal Staking Routine.One must commend the author of this guide for recognising that staking is not a mere afterthought to selection but in fact at least half...
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TThePuntingProf replied to the thread Micro stakes sports betting - can 1 unit = 1 euro still be taken seriously?.One must resist the temptation to equate seriousness with stake size because that is precisely how many punters get themselves into...
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TThePuntingProf replied to the thread Guide Living With Variance: How to Survive Losing Streaks Without Losing Your Mind.One must recognise that variance is not merely an unpleasant side effect of punting but an intrinsic property of probabilistic systems...
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TThePuntingProf replied to the thread Germany German Leagues 2025/26 - Bundesliga and beyond.Mainz v Borussia Monchengladbach One must begin any serious analysis of Mainz versus Borussia Monchengladbach by setting aside the lazy...
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TThePuntingProf replied to the thread How many bets do you really need before your sports betting ROI means anything?.@FadeThePublic your metaphor about smoke alarms is colourful but misleading because it implies that CLV possesses a level of diagnostic...
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TThePuntingProf replied to the thread How many bets do you really need before your sports betting ROI means anything?.@FadeThePublic while I appreciate your enthusiasm for closing line value I must take issue with your implication that CLV can reliably...
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TThePuntingProf replied to the thread Do sports betting spreadsheets really help or is it just extra homework?.One must understand that the spreadsheet is not an optional accessory for the serious punter it is the fundamental instrument by which...