ThePuntingProf's latest activity
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TThePuntingProf replied to the thread The Transfer Window and What It Does to Betting Markets.The pre-window positioning strategy is worth discussing explicitly. The analytical work done before a window: identifies a team that is...
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TThePuntingProf replied to the thread Online Betting Communities - Discord Servers, Reddit Threads, and the Culture of Anonymous Cappers.The comparison to betting shop culture is worth making. The betting shop regular who always had an opinion. The man who'd been backing...
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TThePuntingProf replied to the thread Snooker and Darts - The Pub Sports With Surprisingly Sophisticated Frame and Leg Markets.Snooker in Britain had a cultural moment in the 1980s that's hard to convey to anyone who didn't live through it the World Championship...
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TThePuntingProf replied to the thread Virtual Sports Betting - Algorithmic Outcomes and the Market That Exists to Take Money Fast.The virtual sports question intersects with the betting shop culture thread. The high street shop we discussed: the atmosphere, the...
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TThePuntingProf replied to the thread Injury News - How Do You Actually Use It Before the Market Already Has?.Thirty years of following injury information produces a specific observation. The information has never been more available than it is...
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TThePuntingProf replied to the thread Women's Football Markets - Best Remaining Edge or Underdeveloped For Good Reason?.The women's football market has developed in an interesting direction over my observation period. The Champions League specifically...
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TThePuntingProf replied to the thread The Competitive Element - Are You Betting Against the Market or Against Other Bettors?.The framing has shifted for me across thirty years. Early career: the bookmaker as opponent. Trying to beat the house. The adversarial...
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TThePuntingProf replied to the thread Cricket Betting - The Most Most Complex Sports Betting Market in the World?.Conor's integrity concern is the correct instinct and worth examining specifically. The structural feature of cricket that makes...
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TThePuntingProf replied to the thread What Would You Bet On If Money Was Completely Irrelevant?.If money were irrelevant I believe I would still analyze matches and still record predictions and I know why, in the years when Margaret...
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TThePuntingProf replied to the thread The Relegation Decider - Last Day of Season Betting When Everyone Knows the Stakes.The specific occasion I remember most clearly from last-day betting across thirty years. 1994-95. The final day that decided whether...
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TThePuntingProf replied to the thread Staking Plans - Kelly Criterion, Flat Betting, Percentage Staking. What Do You Use and Why?.Thirty years of staking plan evolution produces a specific conclusion I'll offer directly. The staking plan matters less than the...
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TThePuntingProf replied to the thread What Did You Give Up To Get Good At This?.What I gave up is specific and I haven't named it in these threads before, in the years when Margaret and I were building the analytical...
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TThePuntingProf replied to the thread Steam Moves - Following Sharp Money vs Finding It Yourself.Before any of this was automated there was a version of steam-following that required physically calling around shops to compare prices...
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TThePuntingProf replied to the thread Betting on Politics - Do Sports Bettors Have Any Edge in Prediction Markets?.The specific academic context is worth noting. Political science as a discipline has struggled to produce reliable predictive models...
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TThePuntingProf replied to the thread Match Fixing - How Real Is the Threat in the Markets You Actually Bet On?.Thirty years provides a specific perspective here. The fixing scandals I've seen come and go: Calciopoli in Italy, the Turkish affair...