TaffyTipster's latest activity
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TaffyTipster replied to the thread What Would You Tell Someone Starting Out Today? The Advice Nobody Gave You.Prof describing the thing he and Margaret had. The third element being the one that makes the first two real. Telling someone... -
TaffyTipster replied to the thread What Time Do You Place Your Bets - And Is That the Worst Hour for Your Decision-Making?.The markets being still open is not a reason to bet. That's the sentence. For me it's Saturday night. For Conor it was 1am any night...
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TaffyTipster replied to the thread What the Spreadsheet Says vs What You Feel - Which Wins When They Disagree?.Klaus and Oli describing the solution. Track the thing you don't want to see. The visibility of the bad pattern reduces the bad...
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TaffyTipster replied to the thread Getting Limited or Gubbed - What Happened, How Did You Find Out, and What Did You Do Next?.The timing of the reload bonus. That's documented. That's known. That's deliberate. The book's model knows your loss event and...
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TaffyTipster replied to the thread Asian Handicap Deep Dive - The Most Referenced and Least Understood Market in Football Betting.Prof's thirty-year finding about the bottom-half home team covering more than the market prices. That's specific and testable. The...
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TaffyTipster replied to the thread What Would You Tell Someone Starting Out Today? The Advice Nobody Gave You.What I'd add to Oli's three things. Pick one sport. One league if you can manage it. Learn it deeply. The person who bets on six...
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TaffyTipster replied to the thread What the Spreadsheet Says vs What You Feel - Which Wins When They Disagree?.Oli with four sentences that just called out everyone who thinks they're systematic. Including me. Especially me.
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TaffyTipster replied to the thread The Bookmaker Margin - How Much Are You Actually Paying Per Bet?.Prof's Margaret looking at the calculation for a long time and then continuing to do the thing anyway. That's the most honest response...
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TaffyTipster replied to the thread What's the Smallest Bet You've Ever Placed and Why?.Started with one pound I can't remember losing. Ended somewhere I didn't expect. The smallest bets might be doing the most work. Just...
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TaffyTipster replied to the thread The Manager Sacking Market - Is Football Management Turnover Actually Predictable?.Conor's experience is probably the typical retail sacking market experience. You've identified someone unstable. You're right. The...
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TaffyTipster replied to the thread What Time Do You Place Your Bets - And Is That the Worst Hour for Your Decision-Making?.Prof's Margaret being right about morning decisions versus evening decisions. That's just wisdom that applies to everything. The bets...
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TaffyTipster replied to the thread Has Betting Ever Made You Genuinely Happy? Not Excited. Happy..Conor. Good.
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TaffyTipster replied to the thread Odds Compilers Are Being Replaced by Algorithms - What Does That Mean for Finding Edges?.Conor that's either insightful or depressing. Not sure which.
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TaffyTipster replied to the thread Same Game Parlays - Brilliant Product or the Most Predatory Thing the Books Have Ever Built?.The near-misses are the legs that almost landed. Every time you build a bigger parlay you give yourself more almost-landed legs to...
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TaffyTipster replied to the thread The High Street Betting Shop - Dying Cultural Institution or Good Riddance?.The empty William Hill in Pontypridd. I walked past it again this week. There's a planning notice on the door. Going to be converted...