That's exactly why most people can't follow Kelly.
During a losing streak your bets shrink, which feels like giving up.
But mathematically it's the only way to avoid ruin.
I'd support:
1. Ban betting ads during live sports
2. Ban betting sponsorships on jerseys
3. Separate league revenue from betting handle
Probably won't happen but it should.
Question that came up during the last thread about physical betting rituals: what does your actual betting space look like?
I have a dedicated office with dual monitors - left screen for games/odds, right screen for spreadsheets and tracking. Organized desk, filing cabinet with records, quiet...
Right. Entertainment betting unaffected.
But the "serious amateur" category - people like Tony, Prof, Klaus who dedicate real time to it - that's being squeezed out.
Pinnacle is the sharpest book in the world. They welcome winners, have high limits, and their closing lines are the best predictor of actual outcomes.
If you beat Pinnacle's closing line consistently, you genuinely have an edge.
Fade the scale is different. It's not just "sharp versus square" anymore.
It's "institutional professional operations versus everyone else."
That's a different dynamic.
You're not overthinking Princess. Once you see the incentive structures you can't unsee them.
Doesn't mean every call is corrupt, but the system has corruption built in.
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