SharpEddie47's latest activity
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SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Premier League vs. NFL: Which Market is Harder to Beat?.@Klaus , with all due respect, you're confusing "randomness" with "market efficiency." Just because a soccer game is lower scoring and... -
SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Handicap Betting: Asian Lines vs. US Spreads - A Civil War.Prof, while I respect the math, you're overcomplicating a simple game. The US Spread exists for a reason: Clarity and Liquidity. In...
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I see a lot of newer bettors in the internet getting excited about "Steam." They see a line move from -3 to -6 and yell, "CONFIRMED...
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This is one of those topics where most casual bettors are completely wrong. I constantly hear people say, "The bookie wants 50/50...
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SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Why Most Betting Systems Eventually Fail.Fade's hit on something important here. I've been doing this for 20+ years and I've seen every type of system imaginable. The ones that...
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SharpEddie47 posted the thread Why Everyone Bets Overs (And Why Books Love It) in General Gambling Forum.I was looking through some closing line data from the last three years of NFL and NBA action, and the trend is still staggering. On...
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SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Why the Public Always Overbets Favorites.Princess, that's genuine growth right there and I respect you for being open to changing your mind. Most recreational bettors never get...
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SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Why the Public Always Overbets Favorites.Princess, nobody's calling you stupid. But you're demonstrating exactly why the public loses money on favorites. You just said: "I'd...
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SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Why Most Betting Systems Eventually Fail.Fade is right about the difference between a system and an approach, though I'd argue a good system IS an approach that's been...
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SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Why the Public Always Overbets Favorites.Princess I'm going to explain this as clearly as I can. The question isn't whether favorites win. They do win. That's why they're...
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SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Why Most Betting Systems Eventually Fail.You're not wrong but you're also not entirely right either. Systems fail for one primary reason: insufficient sample size before...
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SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Why "Good Picks" Can Be Bad Bets.Professor is right about closing line value. That's the single best metric for evaluating whether you're making good bets independent of...
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SharpEddie47 reacted to ThePuntingProf's post in the thread Why "Good Picks" Can Be Bad Bets with
Smart.
@ParlayPrincess_88 I hope you do not feel discouraged because what you are experiencing is the exact learning curve that every... -
SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Why "Good Picks" Can Be Bad Bets.Klaus is right about the systematic approach. Let me add the practical threshold I use. I don't bet unless I believe the true...
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@ParlayPrincess_88 asks the correct question. Identifying mispricing requires systematic approach, not guesswork. The practical...
